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Group 1 Automotive, Inc.
$243.02
+1.56% 2026-10-20
Consumer DiscretionaryS&P 600
-48%-32%-16%+1%+17%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
GPISPY
1W
+4.9%
1M
-1.4%
3M
-21.9%
6M
-29.2%
YTD
-37.9%
1Y
-45.1%

Live chart

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What they do

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. operates in the automotive retail industry in the United States and the United Kingdom. The company sells new and used cars and light trucks through its dealerships and digital platform; and service and insurance contracts. It also engages in the wholesale of used vehicles at third-party auctions; wholesale and retail of vehicle and replacement parts; and arrangement of related vehicle financing.

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Grades vs sector

Momentum
8th pct in sector
F
12-1 return: -39.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
12th pct in sector
D-
Revenue growth (YoY): -5.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
86th pct in sector
A-
Forward E/P: 16.9% · EBITDA/EV: 12.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
23rd pct in sector
D
Profit margin: +1.3% · Return on equity: +9.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Top 15
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blend
not in the current book
New Highs Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Conviction 20
not in the current book

News

More news
Group 1 Automotive and 4 More Stocks See Action From Activist Investors
Barrons.com · Oct 02

Key stats

Market cap$2.9B
P/E (trailing)10.2
P/E (forward)5.9
52-week range225.51 – 461.27
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)-5.6%
Dividend yield0.92%
Analyst consensusBuy (12)
Mean price target$333.33 (+37%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +5 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 232%
▲Forward P/E vs sector5.9x vs median 13.4x
▲Piotroski F-score7/9
▲Net debt / EBITDA-0.2x
▲Analyst target+37% (12 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Bear
$510
+110%
growth -2% · disc. 9.8% · term. 2.0%
Base
$807
+232%
growth 3% · disc. 8.8% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$1,225
+404%
growth 6% · disc. 7.8% · term. 3.0%

Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 2.6% average margin × current revenue = 0.6B (last 12 months: 0.2B at a 1% margin). On trailing cash flow the base case would be $243.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price implies shrinking cash flows: about -14% a year for 10 years.
Implied
-14%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+0%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
-10%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+12%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+16%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: mid-cycle free cash flow 0.6B, 8.8% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.92 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary

P/E (trailing)
sector median 17.7× · 16th pct
10.2×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 13.4× · 3rd pct
5.9×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.3× · 0th pct
4.0×
cheaper
Price / sales
sector median 1.2× · 2nd pct
0.1×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 2.8× · 13th pct
1.0×
cheaper
FCF yield
sector median 6.6% · 43rd pct
5.7%
pricier

Forward EPS $40.86 vs trailing $23.93 (+71% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
15.9%
Operating margin
3.1%
FCF margin
0.8%
Net margin
1.3%
Return on equity
9.8%
Return on invested capital
17.6%
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.2×
Current ratio
1.0×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.5×
Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target
$333
+37%
Analysts
12
Buy
Range
$232–$432
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$22.6B$325.2M$424.5M
2024$19.9B$498.1M$341.2M
2023$17.9B$601.6M$4.8M
2022$16.2B$751.5M$430.4M
2021$13.5B$552.1M$1.1B
2020$10.6B$286.5M$702.2M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +11.6%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-28 · before open · EPS est 9.50
24-1025-0125-0425-0725-1026-0126-0426-070.0011.52
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-07-3010.609.61-9.4%
2026-04-308.828.66-1.8%
2026-01-299.168.49-7.3%
2025-10-2810.7310.45-2.6%
2025-07-2410.4511.52+10.3%
2025-04-249.6710.20+5.4%
2025-01-299.1110.02+9.9%
2024-10-309.879.91+0.4%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$5.4B-5.6%
2026-03-31$5.4B–
2025-12-31$5.6B–
2025-09-30$5.8B–
2025-06-30$5.7B–
Analyst actions
Evercore ISI Group
2026-10-12 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $330
UBS
2026-10-07 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $271
JP Morgan
2026-10-06 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $260
Barclays
2026-10-06 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $320
Morgan Stanley
2026-10-05 · down
Equal-Weight → Underweight
PT $232
Citigroup
2026-09-28 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $357

Recent dividends

2026-09-01: $0.550 · 2026-06-01: $0.550 · 2026-03-02: $0.550 · 2025-12-01: $0.500 · 2025-09-02: $0.500 · 2025-06-02: $0.500 · 2025-03-03: $0.500 · 2024-12-02: $0.470
Insider trades
Conifer Management, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-09-30
BUY
$508.4K
Conifer Management, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-09-30
BUY
$3.5M
Conifer Management, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-09-30
BUY
$3.0M
Conifer Management, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-09-30
BUY
$759.5K
Conifer Management, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-09-30
BUY
$1.3M
Conifer Management, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-09-30
BUY
$4.0M
Conifer Management, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-09-30
BUY
$4.0M
Conifer Management, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-09-30
BUY
$254.9K
Conifer Management, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-09-29
BUY
$664.7K
Conifer Management, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-09-29
BUY
$3.1M
Conifer Management, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-09-29
BUY
$783.0K
Conifer Management, L.L.C.
10% owner · 2026-09-29
BUY
$124.9K

Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 18:02:58 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

COTEAU

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.