coteauBeta Get App

GWRE

Guidewire Software, Inc.
$181.90
-0.92% Oct 21 close
Information TechnologyS&P 400 CompareTechnicals
-60%-40%-21%-2%+17%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
GWRESPY
1W
+10.3%
1M
+21.8%
3M
+35.8%
6M
+27.2%
YTD
-9.5%
1Y
-28.5%

Live chart

Loading live chart…

What they do

Guidewire Software, Inc. provides a platform for property and casualty (P&C) insurers the United States, Canada, other Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific. It offers Guidewire InsuranceSuite, such as PolicyCenter, ClaimCenter, BillingCenter, PricingCenter, and UnderwritingCente applications. The company also provides Guidewire InsuranceNow, a cloud-based application that offers policy administration, claims management.

Technology · Software - Application

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
7th percentile in sector
F
12-1 return: -39.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
49th percentile in sector
C+
Revenue growth (YoY): +15.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
10th percentile in sector
D-
Forward E/P: 3.2% · EBITDA/EV: 1.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
41st percentile in sector
C
Profit margin: +9.4% · Return on equity: +10.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
Guidewire Software Insider Sold Shares Worth $999,000, According to a Recent SEC Filing
MT Newswires · Oct 21
Samsara, Zeta Global, Agilysys, and Guidewire Software Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To Know
StockStory · Oct 20
Is CCC Intelligent Solutions Stock Stronger Than It Looks?
Trefis · Oct 20
Guidewire Software's Backlog Supports Durable Growth, Oppenheimer Says
MT Newswires · Oct 20
Is There A Risk Hiding In CCC Stock's Recent Quarters?
Trefis · Oct 16

Key stats

Market value$14.9B
P/E (last 12 months)111.6
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)34.0
52-week range$102.30 – $255.89
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+15.3%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Analyst consensusBuy (14)
Average analyst price target$213.29 (+17%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 16%
▼Forward P/E vs sector34.0x vs median 16.9x
▲Altman Z6.9 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-2.0x
▲Analyst target+17% (14 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$90
-50%
growth 10% · disc. 10.4% · term. 2.0%
Base
$153
-16%
growth 16% · disc. 9.4% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$242
+33%
growth 21% · disc. 8.4% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 15% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+15%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+126%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+32%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+18%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+15%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.4B, 9.4% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (FY to 2026-07-31). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.03 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.9× · 91st pct
111.6×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 16.9× · 90th pct
34.0×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.8× · 92nd pct
81.9×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 4.6× · 78th pct
10.1×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 5.1× · 79th pct
12.5×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 3.5% · 39th pct
2.5%
pricier

Forward EPS $5.35 vs trailing $1.63 (+228% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$4.3B
as of 2026-07-31
vs a year ago
+39%
YoY
× TTM revenue
2.91×
coverage
24-10
25-01
25-04
25-07
25-10
26-01
26-04
26-07

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
64.2%
Operating margin
10.2%
FCF margin
25.6%
Net margin
–
Return on equity
–
Return on invested capital
15.2%
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.0×
Current ratio
1.8×
Interest cover
11.2×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
–

Altman Z-score 6.9 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$213
+17%
Analysts
14
Buy
Range
$170–$258
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$1.5B–$377.7M
2025$1.2B–$295.1M
2024$980.5M–$189.4M
2023$905.3M–$32.6M
2022$812.6M–$-47.5M
2021$743.3M–$92.6M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +17.7%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-12-03 · during market · EPS est 0.72
24-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-0626-090.001.17
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-09-030.940.99+5.5%
2026-06-040.740.82+10.4%
2026-03-050.771.17+52.5%
2025-12-030.610.66+7.5%
2025-09-040.630.84+33.3%
2025-06-030.470.88+88.1%
2025-03-060.510.51-0.9%
2024-12-050.300.43+44.9%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-07-31$411.1M+15.3%
2026-04-30$372.5M–
2026-01-31$359.1M–
2025-10-31$332.6M–
2025-07-31$356.6M–
Rating changes
Reiterated
2026-10-02 · DA Davidson reiterated Buy on GWRE
Reiterated
2026-09-09 · DA Davidson reiterated Buy on GWRE
Reiterated
2026-09-04 · Citigroup reiterated Neutral on GWRE
Reiterated
2026-09-04 · Oppenheimer reiterated Outperform on GWRE
Reiterated
2026-09-04 · DA Davidson reiterated Buy on GWRE
Reiterated
2026-09-04 · Wells Fargo reiterated Overweight on GWRE

Third-party analyst actions, not Coteau's views. All rating changes

Insider trades
Mullen John P
President · 2026-10-20
Sell
$999.0K
Rosenbaum Michael George
Director, Chief Executive Officer · 2026-10-19
Sell
$201.5K
Rosenbaum Michael George
Director, Chief Executive Officer · 2026-10-12
Sell
$202.8K
King James Winston
Chief Admin Officer, Gen Couns · 2026-10-09
Sell
$1.5M
Rosenbaum Michael George
Director, Chief Executive Officer · 2026-10-05
Sell
$183.0K
Rosenbaum Michael George
Director, Chief Executive Officer · 2026-09-28
Sell
$171.2K
Rosenbaum Michael George
Director, Chief Executive Officer · 2026-09-21
Sell
$175.1K
Cooper Jeffrey Elliott
Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-18
Sell
$144.1K
Cooper Jeffrey Elliott
Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-18
Sell
$171.6K
Cooper Jeffrey Elliott
Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-18
Sell
$637.5K
Cooper Jeffrey Elliott
Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-18
Sell
$344.3K
Cooper Jeffrey Elliott
Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-18
Sell
$120.2K

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:01:55 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

Free. Not investment advice. Unsubscribe anytime.

coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026