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HLT

Hilton Worldwide
$362.25
+0.82% Oct 21 close
Consumer DiscretionaryS&P 500 Compare
-5%+6%+17%+28%+39%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
HLTSPY
1W
+10.4%
1M
+18.0%
3M
+11.8%
6M
+8.7%
YTD
+26.3%
1Y
+36.5%

Live chart

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What they do

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., a hospitality company, engages in managing, franchising, and leasing hotels and resorts. It operates in two segments, Management and Franchise, and Ownership. The company engages in the hotel management and licensing of its brand names, trademarks, and service marks.

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
82nd percentile in sector
A-
12-1 return: +24.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
40th percentile in sector
C
Revenue growth (YoY): +2.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
4th percentile in sector
F
Forward E/P: 3.0% · EBITDA/EV: 3.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
97th percentile in sector
A+
Profit margin: +31.0% · Return on equity: –
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
ranked 168 of 499 · 12-month momentum 22.1%
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
What Does Booking Offer That Hilton Does Not?
Trefis · 21h ago

Key stats

52-week range$256.46 – $362.25
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 38%
•Piotroski F-score6/9
▲Net debt / EBITDA-0.3x

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$144
-60%
growth 6% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$226
-38%
growth 11% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$339
-6%
growth 14% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Not enough data to run a reverse DCF.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary

P/E (trailing)
sector median 17.7×
–
Forward P/E
sector median 13.4×
–
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.3×
–
Price / sales
sector median 1.2×
–
Price / book
sector median 2.8×
–
FCF yield
sector median 6.6%
–

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
–
Operating margin
23.3%
FCF margin
16.3%
Net margin
12.7%
Return on equity
–
Return on invested capital
–
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.3×
Current ratio
0.6×
Interest cover
4.4×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.3×
Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

No analyst targets available.

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$12.0B$1.5B$2.0B
2024$11.2B$1.5B$1.9B
2023$10.2B$1.1B$1.8B
2022$8.8B$1.3B$1.6B
2021$5.8B$410.0M$74.0M
2020$4.3B$-715.0M$662.0M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +11.1%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-27 · before open · EPS est 2.36
24-1025-0225-0425-0725-1026-0226-0426-070.002.29
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-07-282.272.29+0.8%
2026-04-281.972.01+1.8%
2026-02-112.022.08+3.2%
2025-10-222.052.11+3.0%
2025-07-232.042.20+7.6%
2025-04-291.611.72+7.0%
2025-02-061.681.76+4.5%
2024-10-231.841.92+4.2%
Insider trades
Carr Chris
Director · 2026-09-14
Sell
$136.2K
Fuentes Laura
See Remarks · 2026-09-14
Sell
$896.3K
Fuentes Laura
See Remarks · 2026-09-14
Sell
$1.4M
None
None · None
Sell
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Sell
–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:20:34 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026