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HUBS

HubSpot, Inc.
$249.90
-0.34% Oct 21 close
Information TechnologyS&P 400 Compare
-62%-42%-22%-3%+17%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
HUBSSPY
1W
+10.5%
1M
+16.9%
3M
+22.0%
6M
+7.4%
YTD
-37.7%
1Y
-47.7%

Live chart

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What they do

HubSpot, Inc. provides a cloud-based customer relationship management (CRM) platform for businesses in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. The company's CRM platform includes Marketing Hub, a toolset for marketing automation and email, social media, SEO, AEO, and reporting and analytics. It offers Operations Hub, which provides programmable automation, data sync, data curation, and data quality tools.

Technology · Software - Application

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
2nd percentile in sector
F
12-1 return: -58.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
59th percentile in sector
B-
Revenue growth (YoY): +19.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
39th percentile in sector
C-
Forward E/P: 7.3% · EBITDA/EV: 1.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
29th percentile in sector
D+
Profit margin: +4.3% · Return on equity: +7.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
HUBS Crosses Above Average Analyst Target
Nasdaq · 13h ago
2 Reasons to Like HUBS (and 1 Not So Much)
StockStory · Oct 20

Key stats

Market value$12.8B
P/E (last 12 months)89.2
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)14.8
52-week range$169.63 – $497.96
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+19.8%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Analyst consensusBuy (30)
Average analyst price target$248.77 (-0%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +2 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 125%
•Forward P/E vs sector14.8x vs median 16.9x
•Piotroski F-score6/9
▲Altman Z5.2 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-4.6x
•Analyst target-0% (30 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$319
+28%
growth 12% · disc. 11.4% · term. 2.0%
Base
$563
+125%
growth 21% · disc. 10.4% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$901
+260%
growth 26% · disc. 9.4% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 4% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+4%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+44%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+69%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+22%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+29%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.8B, 10.4% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.24 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.9× · 88th pct
89.2×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 16.9× · 40th pct
14.8×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.8× · 78th pct
39.5×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 4.6× · 41st pct
3.7×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 5.1× · 69th pct
7.7×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 3.5% · 75th pct
6.2%
cheaper

Forward EPS $16.85 vs trailing $2.80 (+502% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$1.7B
as of 2026-06-30
vs a year ago
+31%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.49×
coverage
24-09
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
26-06

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
83.2%
Operating margin
3.8%
FCF margin
23.1%
Net margin
4.3%
Return on equity
8.9%
Return on invested capital
34.7%
Net debt / EBITDA
-4.6×
Current ratio
1.4×
Interest cover
202.7×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
5.8×
Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 5.2 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$249
-0%
Analysts
30
Buy
Range
$190–$320
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$3.1B$45.9M$707.6M
2024$2.6B$4.6M$560.7M
2023$2.2B$-164.5M$317.3M
2022$1.7B$-107.3M$235.7M
2021$1.3B$-77.8M$210.0M
2020$883.0M$-85.0M$51.6M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +21.8%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-04 · during market · EPS est 3.27
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-080.003.26
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-053.023.26+8.1%
2026-05-072.472.72+10.2%
2026-02-112.993.09+3.4%
2025-11-052.592.66+2.9%
2025-08-062.122.19+3.1%
2025-05-081.761.78+1.0%
2025-02-122.202.32+5.6%
2024-11-061.912.18+14.2%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$911.7M+19.8%
2026-03-31$881.0M–
2025-12-31$846.7M–
2025-09-30$809.5M–
2025-06-30$760.9M–
Analyst actions
Barclays
2026-10-12 · down
Overweight → Equal-Weight
PT $240
JP Morgan
2026-10-08 · down
Overweight → Neutral
PT $240
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-10-07 · reit
Neutral → Neutral
PT $200
Needham
2026-10-06 · reit
Buy → Buy
PT $300
Raymond James
2026-10-05 · down
Outperform → Market Perform
BMO Capital
2026-09-21 · main
Market Perform → Market Perform
PT $250
Insider trades
Halligan Brian
Director · 2026-10-20
SELL
$2.0M
Halligan Brian
Director · 2026-09-15
SELL
$2.1M
Halligan Brian
Director · 2026-08-18
SELL
$1.9M
Dischler Gerald
Director · 2026-08-10
BUY
$199.7K
Fisher Erika Ashley
Chief Legal Officer · 2026-08-04
SELL
$165.1K
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Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:22:47 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026