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ICE

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.
$157.69
-0.55% Oct 21 close
FinancialsS&P 500 CompareTechnicals
-20%-11%-1%+8%+17%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
ICESPY
1W
+1.7%
1M
+1.5%
3M
+11.0%
6M
-0.0%
YTD
-1.6%
1Y
+1.9%

Live chart

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What they do

Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. provides technology and data to financial institutions, corporations, and government entities in the United States, the United Kingdom, the European Union, Canada, Asia Pacific, and the Middle East. It operates through three segments: Exchanges, Fixed Income and Data Services, and Mortgage Technology. The Exchanges segment operates regulated marketplace technology for the listing, trading.

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
40th percentile in sector
C-
12-1 return: +5.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
24th percentile in sector
D+
Revenue growth (YoY): +4.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
16th percentile in sector
D-
Forward E/P: 5.5% · EBITDA/EV: 6.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
71st percentile in sector
B
Profit margin: +38.2% · Return on equity: +14.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
ranked 364 of 499 · 12-month momentum -3.7%
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
Microsoft, Alphabet Bar Their Tokenized Shares From OKX-ICE Venue as Objections Hit 16
Unchained · Oct 20
Nine Public Companies Object to OKX-ICE Tokenized Stock Plans
CryptoProwl · Oct 19
SEC tokenized stock framework faces issuer pushback as Broadcom, Verizon object to OKX-ICE listing
CoinDesk · Oct 18

Key stats

Market value$88.5B
P/E (last 12 months)22.2
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)17.7
52-week range$121.79 – $176.05
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+4.8%
Dividend yield1.31%
Analyst consensusBuy (15)
Average analyst price target$187.53 (+19%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +1 (DCF counts double).
•DCF (base case)below the price by 5%
▼Forward P/E vs sector17.7x vs median 10.2x
▲Piotroski F-score7/9
•Net debt / EBITDA2.8x
▲Analyst target+19% (15 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$81
-49%
growth 2% · disc. 10.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$151
-5%
growth 7% · disc. 9.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$248
+57%
growth 10% · disc. 8.0% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 6% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+6%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+9%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+10%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+9%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+9%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 5.1B, 9.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.94 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Financials

P/E (trailing)
sector median 13.0× · 82nd pct
22.2×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 10.2× · 90th pct
17.7×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 10.9× · 76th pct
15.5×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 2.8× · 79th pct
6.6×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 1.6× · 76th pct
3.0×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 8.2% · 30th pct
5.7%
pricier

Forward EPS $8.88 vs trailing $7.09 (+25% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$3.4B
as of 2026-06-30
vs a year ago
+3%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.25×
coverage
24-06
24-09
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
26-03
26-06

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
–
Operating margin
40.7%
FCF margin
37.8%
Net margin
30.1%
Return on equity
13.7%
Return on invested capital
8.5%
Net debt / EBITDA
2.8×
Current ratio
1.0×
Interest cover
6.8×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.4×
Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target
$188
+19%
Analysts
15
Buy
Range
$160–$243
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$12.6B$3.3B$4.3B
2024$11.8B$2.8B$4.2B
2023$9.9B$2.4B$3.4B
2022$9.6B$1.4B$3.3B
2021$9.2B$4.1B$2.9B
2020$8.2B$2.1B$2.7B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +9.5%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-29 · before open · EPS est 1.97
24-1025-0225-0525-0725-1026-0226-0426-070.002.35
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-07-301.841.90+3.4%
2026-04-302.262.35+3.9%
2026-02-051.671.71+2.2%
2025-10-301.611.71+6.4%
2025-07-311.771.81+2.3%
2025-05-011.701.72+1.0%
2025-02-061.491.52+2.0%
2024-10-311.551.55-0.1%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$3.6B+10.7%
2026-03-31$3.7B–
2025-12-31$3.1B–
2025-09-30$3.0B–
2025-06-30$3.3B–
Rating changes
Reiterated
2026-10-14 · Wells Fargo reiterated Underweight on ICE
Reiterated
2026-10-12 · TD Cowen reiterated Hold on ICE
Reiterated
2026-10-09 · Morgan Stanley reiterated Equal-Weight on ICE
Reiterated
2026-10-07 · Barclays reiterated Overweight on ICE
Downgrade
2026-10-05 · TD Cowen downgraded ICE from Buy to Hold
Initiated
2026-10-02 · Wells Fargo started covering ICE at Underweight

Third-party analyst actions, not Coteau's views. All rating changes

Recent dividends

2026-09-16: $0.520 · 2026-06-15: $0.520 · 2026-03-17: $0.520 · 2025-12-16: $0.480 · 2025-09-16: $0.480 · 2025-06-13: $0.480 · 2025-03-17: $0.480 · 2024-12-16: $0.450
Insider trades
Foley Douglas
SVP, HR & Administration · 2026-09-14
Sell
$256.0K
Jackson Benjamin
President · 2026-09-01
Sell
$257.7K
Jackson Benjamin
President · 2026-09-01
Sell
$999.8K
Jackson Benjamin
President · 2026-09-01
Sell
$801.6K
Edmonds Christopher Scott
President, Fixed Income & Data · 2026-09-01
Sell
$803.0K
Surdykowski Andrew J
General Counsel · 2026-08-26
Sell
$97.4K
Surdykowski Andrew J
General Counsel · 2026-08-26
Sell
$642.5K
Tirinnanzi Martha A
Director · 2026-08-26
Sell
$216.0K
Foley Douglas
SVP, HR & Administration · 2026-08-20
Sell
$256.0K
Gardiner Warren
Chief Financial Officer · 2026-08-19
Sell
$389.3K
Tirinnanzi Martha A
Director · 2026-08-13
Sell
$21.9K
Kapani Mayur
Chief Technology Officer · 2026-08-12
Sell
$15.2K

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 17:58:04 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026