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KNTK

Kinetik Holdings Inc.
$54.65
-1.18% Oct 19 close
EnergyS&P 600 Compare
-12%+7%+26%+44%+63%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
KNTKSPY
1W
+0.2%
1M
+2.1%
3M
+8.6%
6M
+21.4%
YTD
+59.8%
1Y
+64.1%

Live chart

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What they do

Kinetik Holdings Inc. operates as a midstream company in the Texas Delaware Basin. The company operates through two segments, Midstream Logistics and Pipeline Transportation. It offers gathering, compression, processing, stabilization, treating, and storage services; transportation services through pipelines.

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
56th percentile in sector
C+
12-1 return: +37.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
63rd percentile in sector
B-
Revenue growth (YoY): +36.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
11th percentile in sector
D-
Forward E/P: 4.7% · EBITDA/EV: 5.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
75th percentile in sector
B+
Profit margin: +29.2% · Return on equity: +19.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
ranked 53 of 589 · 12-month momentum 32.3%
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
Is Kinetik (KNTK) a Good or Bad Investment After Growing Earnings 65%?
Insider Monkey · Oct 19
Five Shale Stocks to Watch Before Third-Quarter Earnings
Oilprice.com · Oct 13

Key stats

Market value$9.4B
P/E (last 12 months)19.3
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)21.2
52-week range$31.33 – $56.92
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+36.3%
Dividend yield5.94%
Analyst consensusBuy (16)
Average analyst price target$58.62 (+7%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -5 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 88%
▼Forward P/E vs sector21.2x vs median 13.6x
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▼Altman Z1.3 (distress)
▼Net debt / EBITDA6.4x
•Analyst target+7% (16 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Bear
$-9
-116%
growth 15% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$7
-88%
growth 25% · disc. 8.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$33
-39%
growth 31% · disc. 7.2% · term. 3.0%

Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 4.3% average margin × current revenue = 0.1B (last 12 months: 0.2B at a 8% margin). On trailing cash flow the base case would be $34.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 32% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+32%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
-35%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
n/a
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+13%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+34%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: mid-cycle free cash flow 0.1B, 8.2% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.79 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Energy

P/E (trailing)
sector median 17.7× · 56th pct
19.3×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 13.6× · 83rd pct
21.2×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 8.1× · 96th pct
22.0×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 2.2× · 85th pct
5.0×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 1.9×
–
FCF yield
sector median 7.7% · 14th pct
1.7%
pricier

Forward EPS $2.61 vs trailing $2.86 (-9% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$404.2M
as of 2026-06-30
vs a year ago
-15%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.21×
coverage
24-09
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
26-06

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
97.6%
Operating margin
10.5%
FCF margin
8.3%
Net margin
10.4%
Return on equity
–
Return on invested capital
6.7%
Net debt / EBITDA
6.4×
Current ratio
0.7×
Interest cover
0.9×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
3.3×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 1.3 (distress zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$59
+7%
Analysts
16
Buy
Range
$52–$67
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$1.8B$178.3M$111.6M
2024$1.5B$80.0M$373.8M
2023$1.3B$289.4M$271.6M
2022$1.2B–$406.8M
2021$662.0M–$157.5M
2020$410.2M–$-79.3M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +13.3%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-04 · during market · EPS est 0.56
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-080.002.18
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-050.150.15-0.1%
2026-05-060.240.77+222.9%
2026-02-250.342.18+549.4%
2025-11-050.280.52+85.4%
2025-08-060.370.50+33.9%
2025-05-070.350.26-27.6%
2025-02-260.370.34-9.3%
2024-11-060.410.33-18.5%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$581.4M+36.3%
2026-03-31$410.0M–
2025-12-31$430.4M–
2025-09-30$464.0M–
2025-06-30$426.7M–
Analyst actions
Jefferies
2026-10-19 · main
Hold → Hold
PT $54
RBC Capital
2026-10-14 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $58
Barclays
2026-10-13 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $56
Scotiabank
2026-09-10 · main
Sector Outperform → Sector Outperform
PT $58
Morgan Stanley
2026-08-18 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $70
Truist Securities
2026-08-12 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $59

Recent dividends

2026-07-24: $0.810 · 2026-04-24: $0.810 · 2026-02-06: $0.810 · 2025-10-27: $0.780 · 2025-07-25: $0.780 · 2025-04-25: $0.780 · 2025-02-03: $0.780 · 2024-10-28: $0.780

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 11:28:52 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026