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LION

LION

Lionsgate Studios Corp.
$12.68
+4.36% Oct 21 close
Sector n/a CompareTechnicals
-5%+39%+84%+129%+173%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
LIONSPY
1W
+16.4%
1M
+10.5%
3M
-8.4%
6M
+12.9%
YTD
+38.9%
1Y
+103.5%

Live chart

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What they do

Services-Motion Picture & Video Tape Production

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

No sector grades for LION yet. Grades rank S&P 1500 stocks within their sector and refresh after each daily data run, so a stock outside that index or newly covered has none.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
What Was Lionsgate Telling You Before Its Stock Ran?
Trefis · 16h ago

Key stats

Market value$3.8B
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)26.1
52-week range$6.09 – $16.70
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Analyst consensusBuy (12)
Average analyst price target$15.08 (+19%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -3 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 114%
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▼Altman Z-0.4 (distress)
▼Net debt / EBITDA9.8x
▲Analyst target+19% (12 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$-3
-123%
growth -10% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$-2
-114%
growth -5% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$-0
-102%
growth -2% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 20% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+20%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
-68%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
n/a
Revenue, last 3 yrs
-5%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
n/a
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.1B, 9.2% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs sector

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$1.9B
as of 2026-06-30
vs a year ago
+17%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.66×
coverage
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
26-06

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
–
Operating margin
4.6%
FCF margin
3.4%
Net margin
-4.1%
Return on equity
–
Return on invested capital
38.1%
Net debt / EBITDA
9.8×
Current ratio
0.4×
Interest cover
0.5×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
–
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✗ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score -0.4 (distress zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$15
+19%
Analysts
12
Buy
Range
$9–$20
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$2.6B$-198.3M$11.4M
2025$2.6B$-362.0M$-179.5M
2024$2.5B$-1.1B$386.9M
2023$3.1B$-2.0B$339.6M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -5.1%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-05 · during market · EPS est -0.01
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-08-0.420.37
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-06–0.06+1600.0%
2026-05-210.240.37+56.8%
2026-02-050.020.01-45.9%
2025-11-06-0.17-0.20-15.0%
2025-08-07-0.19-0.32-67.4%
2025-05-220.360.21-41.2%
2025-02-060.070.25+239.2%
2024-11-07-0.42-0.38+9.3%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$776.6M+47.7%
2026-03-31$906.5M–
2025-12-31$724.3M–
2025-09-30$475.1M–
2025-06-30$525.9M–
Rating changes
Initiated
2026-09-25 · JP Morgan started covering LION at Underweight
Initiated
2026-09-14 · Citizens started covering LION at Market Outperform
Reiterated
2026-08-10 · B. Riley Securities reiterated Neutral on LION
Initiated
2026-07-01 · B. Riley Securities started covering LION at Neutral
Reiterated
2026-06-17 · Baird reiterated Outperform on LION
Reiterated
2026-06-11 · Benchmark reiterated Buy on LION

Third-party analyst actions, not Coteau's views. All rating changes

Insider trades
None
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Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 12:08:53 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026