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MA

Mastercard Incorporated
$620.42
+0.65% 2026-10-20
FinancialsS&P 500
-16%-8%+0%+9%+17%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
MASPY
1W
+2.6%
1M
+9.9%
3M
+15.4%
6M
+21.7%
YTD
+9.4%
1Y
+10.2%

Live chart

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Grades vs sector

Momentum
30th pct in sector
D+
12-1 return: +0.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
62nd pct in sector
B-
Revenue growth (YoY): +14.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
4th pct in sector
F
Forward E/P: 3.7% · EBITDA/EV: 4.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
97th pct in sector
A+
Profit margin: +46.3% · Return on equity: +241.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Top 15
rank 293 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 4.2
Momentum Blend
not in the current book
New Highs Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Conviction 20
not in the current book

News

More news
Is The Market Underpricing Mastercard Stock?
Trefis · 3h ago
AbbVie Named Official Pharmaceutical Partner of the McLaren Mastercard Formula 1 Team, Launches AbbVie Race to Innovate to Support Immunology Community
PR Newswire · 17h ago
The Access Tax Amazon Imposed on Shopping Agents Just Arrived at Your Bank
Forkast News · 18h ago
Greg Abel's Berkshire Hathaway Owns These 5 Stocks. Here's What $1,000 in Each Could Be Worth by 2030.
Nasdaq · 18h ago
Billion Dollar Boy Group bets B2B is creator marketing’s next big wave
Marketing Dive · Oct 19

Key stats

Market cap$543.5B
P/E (trailing)34.1
P/E (forward)26.9
52-week range464.52 – 624.29
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+14.1%
Dividend yield0.56%
Analyst consensusStrong Buy (37)
Mean price target$674.25 (+9%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -1 (DCF counts double).
•DCF (base case)above the price by 7%
▼Forward P/E vs sector26.9x vs median 10.2x
•Piotroski F-score4/9
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.6x
•Analyst target+9% (37 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$378
-39%
growth 8% · disc. 9.1% · term. 2.0%
Base
$662
+7%
growth 14% · disc. 8.1% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$1,111
+79%
growth 17% · disc. 7.1% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 10% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+10%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+17%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+20%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+14%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+16%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 16.7B, 8.1% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.76 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Financials

P/E (trailing)
sector median 13.0× · 92nd pct
34.1×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 10.2× · 99th pct
26.9×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 10.9× · 95th pct
25.7×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 2.8× · 88th pct
15.5×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 1.6× · 100th pct
96.9×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 8.2% · 13th pct
3.1%
pricier

Forward EPS $23.07 vs trailing $18.18 (+27% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$1.3B
as of 2020-12-31
vs a year ago
+0%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.04×
coverage
18-03
18-06
18-09
18-12
19-12
20-12

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
–
Operating margin
58.3%
FCF margin
47.6%
Net margin
9.2%
Return on equity
57.4%
Return on invested capital
87.0%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6×
Current ratio
1.1×
Interest cover
27.4×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
5.4×
Piotroski F-score 4/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✗ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✗ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target
$674
+9%
Analysts
37
Strong Buy
Range
$550–$760
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$32.8B–$17.2B
2024$28.2B–$14.3B
2023$25.1B–$11.6B
2022$22.2B–$10.8B
2021$18.9B–$9.1B
2020$15.3B–$6.9B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +13.8%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-29 · before open · EPS est 5.16
24-1025-0125-0525-0725-1026-0126-0426-070.005.04
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-07-304.785.04+5.5%
2026-04-304.414.60+4.2%
2026-01-294.244.76+12.3%
2025-10-304.314.38+1.5%
2025-07-314.024.15+3.1%
2025-05-013.563.73+4.8%
2025-01-303.693.82+3.5%
2024-10-313.753.89+3.9%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$9.3B+14.1%
2026-03-31$8.4B–
2025-12-31$8.8B–
2025-09-30$8.6B–
2025-06-30$8.1B–
Analyst actions
Baird
2026-10-09 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $710
RBC Capital
2026-08-31 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $696
Wolfe Research
2026-08-25 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $740
Truist Securities
2026-08-05 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $633
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-08-03 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $695
UBS
2026-07-31 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $670

Recent dividends

2026-10-09: $0.870 · 2026-07-09: $0.870 · 2026-04-09: $0.870 · 2026-01-09: $0.870 · 2025-10-09: $0.760 · 2025-07-09: $0.760 · 2025-04-09: $0.760 · 2025-01-10: $0.760
Insider trades
Ling Hai
Chief Financial Officer · 2026-10-16
SELL
$2.7M
Genachowski Julius
Director · 2026-10-12
SELL
$218.4K
Genachowski Julius
Director · 2026-10-09
SELL
$216.4K
Genachowski Julius
Director · 2026-10-09
SELL
$590
Sachin J. Mehra
Chief Business Officer · 2026-09-02
SELL
$1.9M
Kirkpatrick Linda Pistecchia
Chief Services Officer · 2026-08-31
SELL
$547.8K
Sachin J. Mehra
Chief Business Officer · 2026-08-20
SELL
$572.1K
Sachin J. Mehra
Chief Business Officer · 2026-08-19
SELL
$68.7K
Sachin J. Mehra
Chief Business Officer · 2026-08-19
SELL
$554.5K
Sachin J. Mehra
Chief Business Officer · 2026-08-19
SELL
$660.9K
Sachin J. Mehra
Chief Business Officer · 2026-08-19
SELL
$672.5K
Sachin J. Mehra
Chief Business Officer · 2026-08-19
SELL
$738.3K

Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 17:52:35 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.