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MCD

MCD

McDonald's
$246.25
-0.11% Oct 21 close
Consumer DiscretionaryS&P 500
1M3M6M1Y2Y
-23%-13%-3%+7%+17%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
MCDSPY
1W
+3.3%
1M
-0.7%
3M
-5.9%
6M
-16.8%
YTD
-17.8%
1Y
-17.9%

Live chart

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What they do

McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, frozen desserts, sundaes, soft serve cones, cookies. The company owns and operates franchised restaurants under various structures, including conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate.

Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
28th percentile in sector
D+
12-1 return: -20.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
49th percentile in sector
C+
Revenue growth (YoY): +3.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
28th percentile in sector
D+
Forward E/P: 5.7% · EBITDA/EV: 6.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
97th percentile in sector
A+
Profit margin: +31.7% · Return on equity: –
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
ranked 100 of 360 · Composite (0-1) 0.5
 Momentum Top 15
ranked 406 of 499 · 12-month momentum -11.7%
 Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
 New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
 Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
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Trefis · 2h ago
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Trefis · 2h ago
Microsoft and Alphabet opt out of tokenized stocks in latest blow to ambitious plan from OKK and NYSE parent firm
Fortune · 4h ago
Can MCD's Menu Innovation Offset Slower U.S. Comparable Sales Growth?
Zacks · 9h ago
McDonald's Launches Disney Villains Boo Buckets For Halloween
Nasdaq · Oct 20

Key stats

52-week range$230.88 – $334.50
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 45%
•Piotroski F-score5/9
•Net debt / EBITDA3.0x

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$65
-74%
growth 0% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$136
-45%
growth 5% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$232
-6%
growth 8% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Not enough data to run a reverse DCF.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary

P/E (trailing)
sector median 17.7×
 –
Forward P/E
sector median 13.4×
 –
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.3×
 –
Price / sales
sector median 1.2×
 –
Price / book
sector median 2.8×
 –
FCF yield
sector median 6.6%
 –

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
–
Operating margin
46.2%
FCF margin
28.0%
Net margin
31.7%
Return on equity
–
Return on invested capital
25.8%
Net debt / EBITDA
3.0×
Current ratio
1.1×
Interest cover
7.9×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.3×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

No analyst targets available.

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$26.9B$8.6B$7.2B
2024$25.9B$8.2B$6.7B
2023$25.5B$8.5B$7.3B
2022$23.2B$6.2B$5.5B
2021$23.2B$7.5B$7.1B
2020$19.2B$4.7B$4.6B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +5.1%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-04 · before open · EPS est 3.39
24-1025-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-080.003.38
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-043.323.38+1.8%
2026-05-072.742.83+3.1%
2026-02-113.053.12+2.2%
2025-11-053.333.22-3.4%
2025-08-063.153.19+1.4%
2025-05-012.672.67-0.0%
2025-02-102.862.83-1.0%
2024-10-293.203.23+0.9%
Insider trades
None
None · None
SELL
–
None
None · None
SELL
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None
None · None
SELL
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None
None · None
SELL
–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 17:53:55 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

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Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026