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MCHP

Microchip Technology Incorporated
$77.15
+1.71% Oct 21 close
Information TechnologyS&P 500 Compare
-27%-6%+15%+35%+56%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
MCHPSPY
1W
+8.3%
1M
+3.2%
3M
-8.7%
6M
-5.4%
YTD
+23.1%
1Y
+17.3%

Live chart

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What they do

Microchip Technology Incorporated develops, manufactures, and sells smart, connected, and secure embedded control solutions in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It operates in two segments, Semiconductor Products and Technology Licensing. The company offers general-purpose 8-bit, 16-bit, 32-bit, and 64-bit mixed-signal microcontrollers; 32-bit and 64-bit embedded mixed-signal microprocessors.

Technology · Semiconductors

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
51st percentile in sector
C+
12-1 return: +27.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
86th percentile in sector
A-
Revenue growth (YoY): +38.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
43rd percentile in sector
C
Forward E/P: 6.2% · EBITDA/EV: 3.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
36th percentile in sector
C-
Profit margin: +9.3% · Return on equity: +7.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
ranked 196 of 499 · 12-month momentum 17.4%
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
Two Reasons To Rethink Applied Materials Stock Now
Trefis · 8h ago
Did The Market Read Texas Instruments Stock Right?
Trefis · Oct 20

Key stats

Market value$41.9B
P/E (last 12 months)113.5
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)16.8
52-week range$48.52 – $105.91
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+38.0%
Dividend yield2.40%
Analyst consensusBuy (25)
Average analyst price target$106.92 (+39%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -1 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 61%
•Forward P/E vs sector16.8x vs median 16.9x
•Piotroski F-score6/9
•Net debt / EBITDA3.5x
▲Analyst target+39% (25 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Bear
$18
-77%
growth 5% · disc. 14.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$30
-61%
growth 10% · disc. 13.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$44
-42%
growth 13% · disc. 12.0% · term. 3.0%

Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 29.2% average margin × current revenue = 1.5B (last 12 months: 1.1B at a 22% margin). On trailing cash flow the base case would be $20.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 20% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+20%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
-35%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
-14%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
-18%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
-3%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: mid-cycle free cash flow 1.5B, 13.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.76 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.9× · 92nd pct
113.5×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 16.9× · 50th pct
16.8×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.8× · 70th pct
32.0×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 4.6× · 72nd pct
8.2×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 5.1× · 62nd pct
6.5×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 3.5% · 41st pct
2.7%
pricier

Forward EPS $4.60 vs trailing $0.68 (+576% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
60.2%
Operating margin
15.5%
FCF margin
21.7%
Net margin
9.3%
Return on equity
7.4%
Return on invested capital
5.7%
Net debt / EBITDA
3.5×
Current ratio
1.9×
Interest cover
3.7×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
2.5×
Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target
$107
+39%
Analysts
25
Buy
Range
$75–$135
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$4.7B$230.0M$871.0M
2025$4.4B$-500.0K$772.1M
2024$7.6B$1.9B$2.6B
2023$8.4B$2.2B$3.1B
2022$6.8B$1.3B$2.5B
2021$5.4B$349.4M$1.8B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -17.6%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-05 · during market · EPS est 0.94
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-080.000.76
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-060.700.76+8.7%
2026-05-070.500.57+12.9%
2026-02-050.430.44+2.8%
2025-11-060.330.35+4.9%
2025-08-070.240.27+13.2%
2025-05-080.100.11+5.3%
2025-02-060.280.20-28.2%
2024-11-050.430.46+6.0%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$1.5B+38.0%
2026-03-31$1.3B–
2025-12-31$1.2B–
2025-09-30$1.1B–
2025-06-30$1.1B–
Analyst actions
Wells Fargo
2026-10-20 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $80
TD Cowen
2026-10-19 · main
Hold → Hold
PT $75
BMO Capital
2026-08-21 · init
Outperform → Outperform
PT $95
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-08-17 · reit
Overweight → Overweight
PT $125
UBS
2026-08-07 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $120
Citigroup
2026-08-07 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $95

Recent dividends

2026-08-24: $0.455 · 2026-05-22: $0.455 · 2026-02-23: $0.455 · 2025-11-24: $0.455 · 2025-08-22: $0.455 · 2025-05-22: $0.455 · 2025-02-24: $0.455 · 2024-11-22: $0.455
Insider trades
Bjornholt James Eric
SENIOR CORPORATE VP AND CFO · 2026-08-25
Sell
$309.7K
Bjornholt James Eric
SENIOR CORPORATE VP AND CFO · 2026-08-17
Sell
$67.2K
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Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:06:35 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026