MKL
Markel Group Inc.
$1,884.10
+1.52% 2026-10-20
Financial Services
MKLSPY
1W
+5.3%
1M
+6.1%
3M
-4.0%
6M
-4.2%
YTD
-12.4%
1Y
-1.2%
Live chart
Loading live chart…
Grades vs sector
MomentumNot enough data yet–
Momentum
Not enough data yet
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
GrowthNot enough data yet–
Growth
Not enough data yet
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
ValueNot enough data yet–
Value
Not enough data yet
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
ProfitabilityNot enough data yet–
Profitability
Not enough data yet
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
RevisionsNot enough data yet–
Revisions
Not enough data yet
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Top 15not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
New Highs Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Conviction 20not in the current book
News
More newsMarkel strengthens Marine & Energy Liability team in London with key appointments
PR Newswire · Oct 15
Markel strengthens Marine & Energy Liability team in London with key appointments
CNW Group · Oct 15
Markel Canada Launches Dedicated Insurance Proposition for Contractors and Trades Businesses
Business Wire · Oct 13
Markel Expands U.S. Energy With Chemical, Oil & Gas Property Offering
Zacks · Oct 09
Markel Launches New Insurance Offering for Small, Midsize US Energy Firms
MT Newswires · Oct 08
Key stats
Market cap$23.3B
P/E (trailing)10.4
P/E (forward)16.5
52-week range1,704.17 – 2,207.59
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+12.7%
Dividend yield0.00%
Analyst consensusHold (6)
Mean price target$1,951.50 (+4%)
Valuation and fundamentals
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +2 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 209%
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.3x
•Analyst target+4% (6 analysts)
Discounted cash flow
Bear
$3,376
+79%
growth 6% · disc. 8.5% · term. 2.0%
Base
$5,830
+209%
growth 11% · disc. 7.5% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$9,934
+427%
growth 14% · disc. 6.5% · term. 3.0%
A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Today's price implies shrinking cash flows: about -5% a year for 10 years.
Implied
-5%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+1%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+9%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+10%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+10%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 2.1B, 7.5% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.64 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs sector
Forward EPS $114.29 vs trailing $181.44 (-37% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
–
Operating margin
19.9%
FCF margin
13.7%
Net margin
14.7%
Return on equity
12.0%
Return on invested capital
12.2%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3×
Current ratio
–
Interest cover
15.2×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.0×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved
Analysts
Mean target
$1,952
+4%
Analysts
6
Hold
Range
$1,532–$2,107
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $15.5B | $2.1B | $2.6B |
| 2024 | $14.8B | $2.7B | $2.3B |
| 2023 | $14.3B | $2.0B | $2.5B |
| 2022 | $11.7B | $-216.3M | $2.5B |
| 2021 | $12.8B | $2.4B | $2.1B |
| 2020 | $9.7B | $816.0M | $1.6B |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +9.9%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-10-28 · after close · EPS est 27.76
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | 30.57 | 19.79 | -35.3% |
| 2026-04-28 | 26.34 | 23.55 | -10.6% |
| 2026-02-04 | 25.73 | 37.41 | +45.4% |
| 2025-10-29 | 23.77 | 31.61 | +33.0% |
| 2025-07-30 | 25.04 | 25.62 | +2.3% |
| 2025-04-30 | 17.97 | 23.64 | +31.6% |
| 2025-02-05 | 19.00 | 23.19 | +22.0% |
| 2024-10-30 | 21.67 | 20.92 | -3.4% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $5.2B | +17.8% |
| 2026-03-31 | $2.9B | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $4.2B | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $4.4B | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $4.4B | – |
Analyst actions
Truist Securities
PT $1,950
2026-04-30 · main
Hold → HoldPT $1,950
Truist Securities
PT $2,100
2026-02-06 · main
Hold → HoldPT $2,100
RBC Capital
PT $2,025
2025-02-07 · main
Sector Perform → Sector PerformPT $2,025
TD Cowen
PT $1,836
2024-12-02 · down
Buy → HoldPT $1,836
RBC Capital
PT $1,675
2024-11-01 · main
Sector Perform → Sector PerformPT $1,675
Jefferies
PT $1,600
2024-10-09 · main
Hold → HoldPT $1,600
Insider trades
None
–
None · None
SELL–
Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 18:08:55 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteau
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.