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MTSI

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.
$273.05
+3.85% Oct 21 close
Information TechnologyS&P 400 Compare
-5%+44%+93%+143%+192%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
MTSISPY
1W
-6.3%
1M
-2.2%
3M
-3.4%
6M
-1.4%
YTD
+59.4%
1Y
+95.9%

Live chart

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What they do

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. provides analog semiconductor solutions for use in wireless and wireline applications across the radio frequency (RF), microwave, millimeter wave, and lightwave spectrum. The company offers a portfolio of standard and custom devices, including integrated circuits, multi-chip modules, diodes, amplifiers, switches and switch limiters.

Technology · Semiconductors

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
80th percentile in sector
A-
12-1 return: +92.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
81st percentile in sector
A-
Revenue growth (YoY): +35.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
12th percentile in sector
D-
Forward E/P: 3.2% · EBITDA/EV: 1.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
67th percentile in sector
B
Profit margin: +20.7% · Return on equity: +17.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
2 Cash-Heavy Stocks with Promising Prospects and 1 Facing Headwinds
StockStory · Oct 20
Is MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MTSI) Trading At A Premium To Cash Flow?
Simply Wall St. · Oct 20
Lam Research, Lattice Semiconductor, Amkor, Entegris, and MACOM Stocks Trade Down, What You Need To Know
StockStory · Oct 15
Can Semtech's 1.6T Ramp Accelerate its Data Center Growth?
Zacks · Oct 13
Monolithic Power Systems, MACOM, Micron, Seagate, and Vishay Intertechnology Shares Plummet, What You Need To Know
StockStory · Oct 12

Key stats

Market value$20.9B
P/E (last 12 months)87.0
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)32.1
52-week range$133.35 – $418.90
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+35.8%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Analyst consensusBuy (15)
Average analyst price target$390.33 (+43%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 75%
▼Forward P/E vs sector32.1x vs median 16.9x
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▲Altman Z21.9 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-1.2x
▲Analyst target+43% (15 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Bear
$38
-86%
growth 15% · disc. 14.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$67
-75%
growth 24% · disc. 13.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$104
-62%
growth 30% · disc. 12.0% · term. 3.0%

Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 14.0% average margin × current revenue = 0.2B (last 12 months: 0.2B at a 18% margin). On trailing cash flow the base case would be $83.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 40% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+40%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+9%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+5%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+13%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+13%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: mid-cycle free cash flow 0.2B, 13.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-07-03). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.76 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.9× · 87th pct
87.0×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 16.9× · 88th pct
32.1×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.8× · 92nd pct
74.6×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 4.6× · 91st pct
17.9×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 5.1× · 83rd pct
13.5×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 3.5% · 17th pct
1.0%
pricier

Forward EPS $8.50 vs trailing $3.14 (+171% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
56.5%
Operating margin
18.1%
FCF margin
17.5%
Net margin
20.7%
Return on equity
15.6%
Return on invested capital
14.6%
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.2×
Current ratio
2.3×
Interest cover
38.2×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.1×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✗ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 21.9 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$390
+43%
Analysts
15
Buy
Range
$300–$475
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$967.3M$-54.2M$192.8M
2024$729.6M$76.9M$140.2M
2023$648.4M$91.6M$142.2M
2022$675.2M$440.0M$150.5M
2021$606.9M$38.0M$130.5M
2020$530.0M$-46.1M$153.8M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +12.7%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-05 · before open · EPS est 2.00
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-080.001.40
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-061.351.40+3.9%
2026-05-071.071.09+1.6%
2026-02-051.001.02+2.2%
2025-11-060.930.94+1.2%
2025-08-070.900.90+0.4%
2025-05-080.840.85+1.1%
2025-02-060.780.79+0.7%
2024-11-070.730.73-0.4%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$342.2M+35.8%
2026-03-31$289.0M–
2025-12-31$271.6M–
2025-09-30$261.2M–
2025-06-30$252.1M–
Analyst actions
BMO Capital
2026-09-18 · up
Market Perform → Outperform
PT $335
BMO Capital
2026-08-21 · init
→ Market Perform
PT $335
Evercore ISI Group
2026-08-07 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $475
Needham
2026-08-06 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $410
Susquehanna
2026-07-21 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $300
Stifel
2026-06-24 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $450
Insider trades
Roth Ambra R.
SVP, GC and Secretary · 2026-10-01
Sell
$195.9K
Dennehy Robert
Senior VP and COO · 2026-08-28
Sell
$69.4K
Kober John
Senior VP and CFO · 2026-08-17
Sell
$132.3K
Kober John
Senior VP and CFO · 2026-08-17
Sell
$98.9K
Kober John
Senior VP and CFO · 2026-08-17
Sell
$526.0K
Kober John
Senior VP and CFO · 2026-08-17
Sell
$556.9K
Kober John
Senior VP and CFO · 2026-08-17
Sell
$163.3K
Kober John
Senior VP and CFO · 2026-08-17
Sell
$292.7K
Kober John
Senior VP and CFO · 2026-08-17
Sell
$129.6K
Kober John
Senior VP and CFO · 2026-08-17
Sell
$509.7K

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:01:51 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026