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NSSC

Napco Security Technologies, Inc.
$36.45
+1.50% 2026-10-20
Information TechnologyS&P 600
-20%-10%-1%+8%+17%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
NSSCSPY
1W
+0.7%
1M
+0.9%
3M
+1.2%
6M
-19.5%
YTD
-11.5%
1Y
-15.5%

Live chart

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What they do

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of electronic security systems for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental applications in the United States and internationally. Its access control systems include various types of identification readers, control panels, PC-based computers, and electronically activated door-locking devices.

Industrials · Security & Protection Services

Grades vs sector

Momentum
24th pct in sector
D+
12-1 return: -18.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
31st pct in sector
D+
Revenue growth (YoY): +10.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
49th pct in sector
C+
Forward E/P: 4.9% · EBITDA/EV: 5.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
76th pct in sector
B+
Profit margin: +21.3% · Return on equity: +23.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Top 15
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blend
not in the current book
New Highs Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Conviction 20
not in the current book

News

More news
Wall Street Analysts Think Napco (NSSC) Could Surge 41.1%: Read This Before Placing a Bet
Zacks · Oct 20
Napco (NASDAQ:NSSC) Q2 Earnings: Leading The Specialized Technology Pack
StockStory · Oct 15
1 of Wall Street’s Favorite Stocks Worth Investigating and 2 We Ignore
StockStory · Oct 12
2 Small-Cap Stocks to Keep an Eye On and 1 That Underwhelm
StockStory · Sep 17
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc's Dividend Analysis
GuruFocus.com · Sep 11

Key stats

Market cap$1.3B
P/E (trailing)30.4
P/E (forward)20.9
52-week range33.91 – 51.77
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+10.0%
Dividend yield1.70%
Analyst consensusStrong Buy (6)
Mean price target$50.67 (+39%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 23%
▼Forward P/E vs sector20.9x vs median 16.9x
•Piotroski F-score6/9
▲Altman Z20.0 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-2.7x
▲Analyst target+39% (6 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$20
-45%
growth 3% · disc. 12.8% · term. 2.0%
Base
$28
-23%
growth 8% · disc. 11.8% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$37
+3%
growth 11% · disc. 10.8% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 11% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+11%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+40%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+22%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+6%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+12%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.1B, 11.8% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (FY to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.50 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.9× · 42nd pct
30.4×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 16.9× · 61st pct
20.9×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.8× · 59th pct
24.7×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 4.6× · 64th pct
6.4×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 5.1× · 64th pct
6.8×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 3.5% · 62nd pct
4.5%
cheaper

Forward EPS $1.75 vs trailing $1.20 (+46% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
59.2%
Operating margin
22.6%
FCF margin
29.3%
Net margin
21.3%
Return on equity
22.5%
Return on invested capital
64.4%
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.7×
Current ratio
4.9×
Interest cover
2,173.2×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.4×
Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 20.0 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$51
+39%
Analysts
6
Strong Buy
Range
$48–$55
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$202.3M$43.0M$59.2M
2025$181.6M$43.4M$51.4M
2024$188.8M$49.8M$43.8M
2023$170.0M$27.1M$21.7M
2022$143.6M$19.6M$6.8M
2021$114.0M$15.4M$22.0M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +6.0%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-02 · before open · EPS est 0.38
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-080.000.50
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-240.380.50+31.6%
2026-05-040.340.39+14.7%
2026-02-020.310.37+19.4%
2025-11-030.300.35+15.2%
2025-08-250.260.36+38.9%
2025-05-050.270.30+11.7%
2025-02-030.340.29-16.0%
2024-11-040.330.29-11.9%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$55.8M+10.0%
2026-03-31$49.2M–
2025-12-31$48.2M–
2025-09-30$49.2M–
2025-06-30$50.7M–
Analyst actions
Needham
2026-08-21 · reit
Buy → Buy
PT $49
DA Davidson
2026-05-05 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $52
TD Cowen
2026-05-05 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $53
DA Davidson
2026-02-04 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $52
DA Davidson
2026-02-03 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $50
Needham
2026-02-03 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $49

Recent dividends

2026-09-11: $0.170 · 2026-06-12: $0.150 · 2026-03-12: $0.150 · 2025-12-12: $0.140 · 2025-09-12: $0.140 · 2025-06-12: $0.140 · 2025-03-12: $0.125 · 2024-12-12: $0.125
Insider trades
Soloway Richard
Director, Founder and Executive Chairman · 2026-08-27
SELL
$13.1M
Soloway Donna Anne
Director · 2026-08-27
SELL
$725.7K
Soloway Richard
Director, Founder and Executive Chairman · 2026-08-26
SELL
$3.4M
Soloway Donna Anne
Director · 2026-08-26
SELL
$1.0M
None
None · None
SELL
–
None
None · None
SELL
–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 18:02:45 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.