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ODFL

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
$188.33
+0.79% Oct 20 close
IndustrialsS&P 500 Compare
-10%+12%+34%+56%+78%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
ODFLSPY
1W
+2.8%
1M
+8.9%
3M
-19.7%
6M
-15.8%
YTD
+20.6%
1Y
+34.7%

Live chart

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What they do

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. The company offers regional, inter-regional, and national less-than-truckload services, as well as expedited transportation services. It also provides various value-added services, including container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting.

Industrials · Trucking

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
70th percentile in sector
B
12-1 return: +24.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
54th percentile in sector
C+
Revenue growth (YoY): +10.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
16th percentile in sector
D-
Forward E/P: 3.6% · EBITDA/EV: 4.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
83rd percentile in sector
A-
Profit margin: +19.4% · Return on equity: +24.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
ranked 89 of 360 · Composite (0-1) 0.6
Momentum Top 15
ranked 86 of 499 · 12-month momentum 42.7%
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
UPS Volume Is Still Falling. Does Better Pricing Make Up For It?
Trefis · 11h ago
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Detracted Despite Posting Robust Results
Insider Monkey · Oct 19
4 Transportation Stocks Likely to Deliver an Earnings Beat This Season
Nasdaq · Oct 16

Key stats

Market value$39.3B
P/E (last 12 months)36.3
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)28.1
52-week range$126.01 – $252.03
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+10.4%
Dividend yield0.62%
Analyst consensusBuy (21)
Average analyst price target$221.14 (+17%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 51%
▼Forward P/E vs sector28.1x vs median 17.1x
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▲Altman Z22.8 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-0.1x
▲Analyst target+17% (21 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$61
-68%
growth -2% · disc. 11.3% · term. 2.0%
Base
$92
-51%
growth 3% · disc. 10.3% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$132
-30%
growth 6% · disc. 9.3% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 13% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+13%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
-7%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+8%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
-4%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+6%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 1.4B, 10.3% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.20 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Industrials

P/E (trailing)
sector median 26.4× · 78th pct
36.3×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 17.1× · 88th pct
28.1×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 14.8× · 81st pct
21.5×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 2.1× · 94th pct
7.0×
pricier
Price / book
sector median 3.5× · 85th pct
8.6×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 4.5% · 36th pct
3.5%
pricier

Forward EPS $6.72 vs trailing $5.20 (+29% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
–
Operating margin
25.8%
FCF margin
24.9%
Net margin
19.4%
Return on equity
24.0%
Return on invested capital
25.4%
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.1×
Current ratio
1.9×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.3×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 22.8 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$221
+17%
Analysts
21
Buy
Range
$156–$250
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$5.5B$1.0B$1.4B
2024$5.8B$1.2B$1.7B
2023$5.9B$1.2B$1.6B
2022$6.3B$1.4B$1.7B
2021$5.3B$1.0B$1.2B
2020$4.0B$672.7M$933.0M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -4.2%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-28 · before open · EPS est 1.61
24-1025-0225-0425-0725-1026-0226-0426-070.001.68
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-07-291.531.68+9.7%
2026-04-291.051.14+8.5%
2026-02-041.061.09+2.8%
2025-10-291.221.28+5.2%
2025-07-301.291.27-1.2%
2025-04-231.141.19+4.0%
2025-02-051.161.23+5.9%
2024-10-231.421.43+0.9%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$1.6B+10.4%
2026-03-31$1.3B–
2025-12-31$1.3B–
2025-09-30$1.4B–
2025-06-30$1.4B–
Analyst actions
Stifel
2026-10-08 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $230
Truist Securities
2026-10-07 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $230
Wolfe Research
2026-10-07 · up
Underperform → Peer Perform
JP Morgan
2026-10-05 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $232
Susquehanna
2026-10-02 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $202
Bernstein
2026-09-10 · init
→ Market Perform
PT $200

Recent dividends

2026-09-02: $0.290 · 2026-06-03: $0.290 · 2026-03-04: $0.290 · 2025-12-03: $0.280 · 2025-09-03: $0.280 · 2025-06-04: $0.280 · 2025-03-05: $0.280 · 2024-12-04: $0.260
Insider trades
Overbey Cecil E. Jr.
SVP - Strategic Development · 2026-08-25
Sell
$4.0M
None
None · None
Sell
–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:06:59 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026