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PAGP

PAGP

Plains GP Holdings, L.P.
$27.73
+0.80% Oct 21 close
Energy CompareTechnicals
-5%+16%+37%+58%+80%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
PAGPSPY
1W
+2.3%
1M
+1.5%
3M
+7.5%
6M
+24.9%
YTD
+52.8%
1Y
+72.0%

Live chart

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What they do

Plains GP Holdings, L.P., through its subsidiary, Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., owns and operates midstream infrastructure systems in the United States and Canada. It operates through Crude Oil and Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs) segments. The company engages in the gathering and transporting crude oil using pipelines, trucks, and barges or railcars.

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

No sector grades for PAGP yet. Grades rank S&P 1500 stocks within their sector and refresh after each daily data run, so a stock outside that index or newly covered has none.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
ranked 26 of 589 · 12-month momentum 65.5%
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
How This $500K High-Yield Roth IRA Portfolio Generates $40K a Year Out of the IRS’s Reach
24/7 Wall St. · Oct 15

Key stats

Market value$6.5B
P/E (last 12 months)63.0
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)13.4
52-week range$16.89 – $28.70
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+66.3%
Dividend yield6.07%
Analyst consensusBuy (13)
Average analyst price target$26.46 (-5%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +2 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 3605%
•Piotroski F-score4/9
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.3x
•Analyst target-5% (13 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$408
+1372%
growth 17% · disc. 8.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$1,027
+3605%
growth 29% · disc. 7.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$2,294
+8171%
growth 36% · disc. 6.0% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price implies shrinking cash flows: about -24% a year for 10 years.
Implied
-24%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+5%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+24%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
-8%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+14%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 2.4B, 7.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.52 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs sector

Forward EPS $2.07 vs trailing $0.44 (+370% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$152.0M
as of 2018-09-30
vs a year ago
–
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.00×
coverage
18-03
18-06
18-09

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
3.9%
Operating margin
3.1%
FCF margin
4.5%
Net margin
1.1%
Return on equity
–
Return on invested capital
187.8%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3×
Current ratio
1.1×
Interest cover
3.1×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
5.4×
Piotroski F-score 4/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target
$26
-5%
Analysts
13
Buy
Range
$20–$30
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$44.3B$260.0M$2.3B
2024$48.9B$103.0M$2.0B
2023$47.3B$198.0M$2.3B
2022$57.3B$168.0M$1.9B
2021$42.1B$60.0M$1.7B
2020$23.3B$-568.0M$772.0M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -8.3%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-06 · before open · EPS est 0.48
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-080.001.12
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-070.440.41-6.3%
2026-05-080.671.12+65.8%
2026-02-060.460.36-21.7%
2025-11-050.400.83+107.4%
2025-08-080.410.41-1.0%
2025-05-090.480.23-51.9%
2025-02-070.480.46-3.2%
2024-11-080.370.37+1.4%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$17.7B+66.3%
2026-03-31$12.5B–
2025-12-31$10.6B–
2025-09-30$11.6B–
2025-06-30$10.6B–
Rating changes
Reiterated
2026-10-09 · UBS reiterated Buy on PAGP
Reiterated
2026-09-21 · Barclays reiterated Underweight on PAGP
Reiterated
2026-09-21 · Mizuho reiterated Outperform on PAGP
Reiterated
2026-09-17 · Citigroup reiterated Neutral on PAGP
Reiterated
2026-09-03 · JP Morgan reiterated Neutral on PAGP
Reiterated
2026-08-18 · Morgan Stanley reiterated Equal-Weight on PAGP

Third-party analyst actions, not Coteau's views. All rating changes

Recent dividends

2026-07-31: $0.418 · 2026-05-01: $0.418 · 2026-01-30: $0.418 · 2025-10-31: $0.380 · 2025-07-31: $0.380 · 2025-05-01: $0.380 · 2025-01-31: $0.380 · 2024-10-31: $0.318

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 11:27:50 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026