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PCAR

PCAR

PACCAR Inc
$110.07
+1.52% Oct 20 close
IndustrialsS&P 500 Compare
-5%+7%+20%+32%+45%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
PCARSPY
1W
+1.9%
1M
-5.2%
3M
-12.6%
6M
-12.3%
YTD
+1.4%
1Y
+15.7%

Live chart

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What they do

PACCAR Inc designs, manufactures, and distributes light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks in the United States, Canada, Australia, Mexico, Europe, Central and South America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services. The Truck segment designs, manufactures, and distributes trucks for the over-the-road and off-highway hauling of commercial and consumer goods; and diesel engine products.

Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
59th percentile in sector
B-
12-1 return: +14.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
12th percentile in sector
D-
Revenue growth (YoY): +0.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
43rd percentile in sector
C
Forward E/P: 6.5% · EBITDA/EV: 5.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
46th percentile in sector
C
Profit margin: +9.0% · Return on equity: +12.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
ranked 140 of 499 · 12-month momentum 29.4%
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
How Much Could You Lose In Ford Stock If Markets Turn?
Trefis · 2h ago
How Big Could Caterpillar Stock's Next Fall Be?
Trefis · 20h ago
3 Industrials Stocks That Fall Short
StockStory · Oct 20
PACCAR Unveils PACCAR Connect For Kenworth And Peterbilt Class 8 Trucks
Nasdaq · Oct 19

Key stats

Market value$58.0B
P/E (last 12 months)23.2
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)15.4
52-week range$93.86 – $139.24
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+0.5%
Dividend yield1.27%
Analyst consensusBuy (16)
Average analyst price target$133.38 (+21%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +1 (DCF counts double).
•DCF (base case)below the price by 10%
•Forward P/E vs sector15.4x vs median 17.1x
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▲Analyst target+21% (16 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$66
-40%
growth -5% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$100
-10%
growth 0% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$146
+32%
growth 3% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 2% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+2%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+14%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+9%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+0%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+9%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 3.7B, 9.2% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.99 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Industrials

P/E (trailing)
sector median 26.4× · 38th pct
23.2×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 17.1× · 40th pct
15.4×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 14.8×
–
Price / sales
sector median 2.1× · 49th pct
2.1×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 3.5× · 38th pct
2.9×
cheaper
FCF yield
sector median 4.5% · 69th pct
6.4%
cheaper

Forward EPS $7.16 vs trailing $4.75 (+51% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
20.0%
Operating margin
–
FCF margin
13.3%
Net margin
9.0%
Return on equity
12.3%
Return on invested capital
–
Net debt / EBITDA
–
Current ratio
–
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.7×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target
$133
+21%
Analysts
16
Buy
Range
$107–$162
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$28.4B$2.4B$3.7B
2024$33.7B$4.2B$3.8B
2023$35.1B$4.6B$3.5B
2022$28.8B$3.0B$2.5B
2021$23.5B$1.9B$1.6B
2020$18.7B$1.3B$2.4B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -0.4%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-27 · before open · EPS est 1.60
24-1025-0125-0425-0725-1026-0126-0426-070.001.85
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-07-281.361.43+5.4%
2026-04-281.161.15-0.9%
2026-01-271.061.06-0.3%
2025-10-211.081.12+3.9%
2025-07-221.311.37+4.3%
2025-04-291.590.96-39.8%
2025-01-281.691.66-1.5%
2024-10-221.821.85+1.7%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$7.5B+0.5%
2026-03-31$6.8B–
2025-12-31$6.8B–
2025-09-30$6.7B–
2025-06-30$7.5B–
Analyst actions
Citigroup
2026-10-12 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $115
JP Morgan
2026-10-08 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $142
Wells Fargo
2026-10-08 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $122
Truist Securities
2026-10-05 · main
Hold → Hold
PT $125
RBC Capital
2026-09-10 · up
Sector Perform → Outperform
PT $150
Morgan Stanley
2026-09-04 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $125

Recent dividends

2026-08-12: $0.350 · 2026-05-13: $0.350 · 2026-02-11: $0.330 · 2025-12-19: $1.400 · 2025-11-12: $0.330 · 2025-08-14: $0.330 · 2025-05-14: $0.330 · 2025-02-12: $0.330
Insider trades
Feight R Preston
Director, CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER · 2026-07-31
Sell
$6.8M
Walters William Lance
Vice President · 2026-07-31
Sell
$133.5K
Poplawski Brice J
Sr. Vice President & CFO · 2026-07-31
Sell
$261.0K
Bolgar Paulo Henrique
Vice President · 2026-07-31
Sell
$387.9K
None
None · None
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–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:06:48 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026