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PEGA

Pegasystems Inc.
$35.18
-2.90% Oct 21 close
Information TechnologyS&P 400 Compare
-52%-34%-15%+3%+22%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
PEGASPY
1W
+4.0%
1M
+0.7%
3M
+35.8%
6M
-5.7%
YTD
-40.8%
1Y
-38.0%

Live chart

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What they do

Pegasystems Inc. develops, markets, licenses, hosts, and supports enterprise software in the United States, rest of the Americas, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. It provides Pega Infinity, a software portfolio comprising of Pega Customer Decision Hub, a real-time AI-powered decision engine.

Technology · Software - Application

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
5th percentile in sector
F
12-1 return: -47.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
29th percentile in sector
D+
Revenue growth (YoY): +9.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
55th percentile in sector
C+
Forward E/P: 7.5% · EBITDA/EV: 3.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
80th percentile in sector
B+
Profit margin: +18.7% · Return on equity: +54.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
Pegasystems: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors
Nasdaq · 3h ago
Why Pegasystems Stock Dropped After Earnings
Nasdaq · 4h ago
Pega (PEGA) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Nasdaq · 5h ago
Pegasystems (PEGA) files 8-K: results
SEC 8-K · Oct 20

Key stats

Market value$6.0B
P/E (last 12 months)20.5
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)13.9
52-week range$25.10 – $68.10
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+9.4%
Dividend yield0.33%
Analyst consensusBuy (7)
Average analyst price target$41.57 (+18%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +5 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 89%
▲Forward P/E vs sector13.9x vs median 16.9x
▲Piotroski F-score8/9
▲Altman Z6.9 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-1.7x
▲Analyst target+18% (7 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$42
+19%
growth 5% · disc. 9.7% · term. 2.0%
Base
$66
+89%
growth 10% · disc. 8.7% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$102
+190%
growth 13% · disc. 7.7% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price implies shrinking cash flows: about -1% a year for 10 years.
Implied
-1%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
n/a
FCF, last 5 yrs
n/a
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+10%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+11%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.4B, 8.7% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-09-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.89 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.9× · 25th pct
20.5×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 16.9× · 34th pct
13.9×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.8× · 69th pct
30.3×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 4.6× · 39th pct
3.4×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 5.1× · 75th pct
10.8×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 3.5% · 80th pct
7.4%
cheaper

Forward EPS $2.60 vs trailing $1.77 (+47% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$2.0B
as of 2026-09-30
vs a year ago
+15%
YoY
× TTM revenue
1.15×
coverage
24-12
25-03
25-06
25-09
25-12
26-03
26-06
26-09

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
75.9%
Operating margin
9.9%
FCF margin
25.3%
Net margin
16.9%
Return on equity
53.7%
Return on invested capital
72.3%
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.7×
Current ratio
1.0×
Interest cover
650.4×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.6×
Piotroski F-score 8/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 6.9 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$42
+18%
Analysts
7
Buy
Range
$32–$52
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$1.7B$393.4M$490.7M
2024$1.5B$99.2M$338.2M
2023$1.4B$67.8M$201.0M
2022$1.3B$-345.6M$-13.0M
2021$1.2B$-63.0M$28.7M
2020$1.0B$-61.4M$-25.9M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +9.8%.

Earnings

Next report: 2027-02-09 · during market · EPS est 0.87
25-0225-0425-0725-1026-0226-0426-0726-100.000.81
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-10-200.460.35-24.6%
2026-07-210.430.35-19.4%
2026-04-210.690.46-33.6%
2026-02-100.730.76+3.5%
2025-10-210.200.30+50.1%
2025-07-220.240.28+18.2%
2025-04-220.250.77+208.9%
2025-02-120.740.81+8.9%
Insider trades
Ledingham Dianne
Director · 2026-10-01
SELL
$34.1K
Kouninis Efstathios A
SVP, Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-09-16
SELL
$36.7K
Ledingham Dianne
Director · 2026-09-15
SELL
$38.0K
Stillwell Kenneth
COO, CFO · 2026-09-11
SELL
$1.4M
Akgonul Rifat Kerim
Chief Product Officer · 2026-09-11
SELL
$252.2K
Kouninis Efstathios A
SVP, Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-09-03
SELL
$41.2K
Kouninis Efstathios A
SVP, Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-08-31
SELL
$36.9K
Akgonul Rifat Kerim
Chief Product Officer · 2026-08-25
SELL
$44.2K
Akgonul Rifat Kerim
Chief Product Officer · 2026-08-25
SELL
$57.8K
Kouninis Efstathios A
SVP, Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-08-10
SELL
$28.5K
Kouninis Efstathios A
SVP, Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-08-07
SELL
$27.8K
None
None · None
SELL
–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:30:09 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026