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PENG

Penguin Solutions, Inc.
$58.30
+3.52% Oct 21 close
Information TechnologyS&P 600 Compare
-27%+47%+121%+194%+268%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
PENGSPY
1W
-13.7%
1M
+6.2%
3M
-1.5%
6M
+111.4%
YTD
+198.1%
1Y
+166.7%

Live chart

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What they do

Penguin Solutions, Inc. designs, builds, deploys and manages enterprise solutions worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Advanced Computing, Integrated Memory, and Optimized LED. It offers hardware, software, and services focusing on technical computing for core and cloud environments through computing and AI solutions.

Technology · Information Technology Services

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
91st percentile in sector
A
12-1 return: +145.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
94th percentile in sector
A
Revenue growth (YoY): +67.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
75th percentile in sector
B+
Forward E/P: 9.2% · EBITDA/EV: 6.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
62nd percentile in sector
B-
Profit margin: +10.4% · Return on equity: +27.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
MACOM, Semtech, FormFactor, Penguin Solutions, and Seagate stocks trade up, what you need to know
StockStory · 58m ago
Chips Bounced, Builders Sank and Crude Sent Mixed Signals Heading Into Tuesday
CNW Group · Oct 20
Bank of America sees 40% upside in AI’s next bottleneck
TheStreet · Oct 17
Vishay Intertechnology, FormFactor, Teradyne, Penguin Solutions, and Applied Materials Stocks Trade Down, What You Need To Know
StockStory · Oct 16

Key stats

Market value$3.0B
P/E (last 12 months)22.4
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)11.1
52-week range$16.04 – $89.86
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+67.7%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Analyst consensusBuy (8)
Average analyst price target$85.62 (+47%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +1 (DCF counts double).
•DCF (base case)below the price by 8%
▲Forward P/E vs sector11.1x vs median 16.9x
▼Piotroski F-score3/9
•Altman Z2.3 (grey)
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.7x
▲Analyst target+47% (8 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Bear
$25
-58%
growth 18% · disc. 14.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$54
-8%
growth 30% · disc. 13.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$93
+60%
growth 38% · disc. 12.0% · term. 3.0%

Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 4.3% average margin × current revenue = 0.1B (last 12 months: -0.2B at a -9% margin).

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 24% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+24%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
n/a
FCF, last 5 yrs
n/a
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+6%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+10%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: mid-cycle free cash flow 0.1B, 13.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (FY to 2026-08-28). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 2.86 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Information Technology

P/E (trailing)
sector median 35.9× · 29th pct
22.4×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 16.9× · 19th pct
11.1×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 20.8× · 28th pct
14.5×
cheaper
Price / sales
sector median 4.6× · 19th pct
1.7×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 5.1× · 57th pct
5.7×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 3.5% · 2nd pct
-5.5%
pricier

Forward EPS $5.26 vs trailing $2.60 (+102% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$157.2M
as of 2026-08-28
vs a year ago
+75%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.09×
coverage
24-11
25-02
25-05
25-08
25-11
26-02
26-05
26-08

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
27.7%
Operating margin
9.6%
FCF margin
-9.4%
Net margin
10.4%
Return on equity
34.7%
Return on invested capital
25.0%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.7×
Current ratio
1.9×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
-0.8×
Piotroski F-score 3/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✗ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✗ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 2.3 (grey zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$86
+47%
Analysts
8
Buy
Range
$60–$100
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$1.7B$180.6M$-163.5M
2025$1.4B$25.4M$100.1M
2024$1.2B$-52.5M$57.8M
2023$1.4B$-187.5M$65.0M
2022$1.4B$66.6M$84.6M
2021$1.1B$21.3M$136.7M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +6.3%.

Earnings

Next report: 2027-01-05 · during market · EPS est 1.04
25-0125-0425-0725-1026-0126-0426-0726-100.001.00
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-10-060.771.00+29.5%
2026-07-070.560.84+49.3%
2026-04-010.420.52+23.1%
2026-01-060.440.49+12.3%
2025-10-070.360.43+18.5%
2025-07-080.320.47+45.6%
2025-04-020.380.52+36.0%
2025-01-080.390.49+25.2%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-05-31$478.7M+47.6%
2026-02-28$343.0M–
2025-11-30$343.1M–
2025-08-31$337.9M–
2025-05-31$324.3M–
Analyst actions
Rosenblatt
2026-10-07 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $100
Barclays
2026-10-07 · main
Underweight → Underweight
PT $60
Stifel
2026-10-07 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $85
Needham
2026-10-07 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $85
Rosenblatt
2026-10-02 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $80
Barclays
2026-07-20 · down
Equal-Weight → Underweight
PT $40

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 12:16:04 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026