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PKG

Packaging Corporation of America
$239.00
+0.03% Oct 21 close
MaterialsS&P 500 Compare
-7%+2%+10%+19%+27%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
PKGSPY
1W
+3.9%
1M
+0.3%
3M
+5.4%
6M
+18.0%
YTD
+18.1%
1Y
+17.7%

Live chart

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What they do

Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and uncoated freesheet (UFS) paper products in North America. The company operates through Packaging and Paper segments. The Packaging segment offers various linerboard and corrugated packaging products.

Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
62nd percentile in sector
B-
12-1 return: +20.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
67th percentile in sector
B
Revenue growth (YoY): +14.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
30th percentile in sector
D+
Forward E/P: 5.7% · EBITDA/EV: 8.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
65th percentile in sector
B
Profit margin: +7.3% · Return on equity: +14.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
ranked 261 of 499 · 12-month momentum 9.4%
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
Packaging Corporation Of America Q3 Profit Rises
Nasdaq · 7h ago

Key stats

52-week range$186.94 – $255.77
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 59%
•Piotroski F-score4/9
•Net debt / EBITDA1.9x

Discounted cash flow

CyclicalValued on average-cycle margins
Bear
$49
-80%
growth -3% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$98
-59%
growth 2% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$165
-31%
growth 5% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

Starting cash flow is mid-cycle: 8.6% average margin × current revenue = 0.8B (last 12 months: 0.7B at a 8% margin). On trailing cash flow the base case would be $85.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Not enough data to run a reverse DCF.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Materials

P/E (trailing)
sector median 20.6×
–
Forward P/E
sector median 12.7×
–
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.1×
–
Price / sales
sector median 1.4×
–
Price / book
sector median 2.3×
–
FCF yield
sector median 4.7%
–

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
20.1%
Operating margin
10.9%
FCF margin
7.8%
Net margin
7.3%
Return on equity
14.8%
Return on invested capital
9.7%
Net debt / EBITDA
1.9×
Current ratio
2.9×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
2.3×
Piotroski F-score 4/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

No analyst targets available.

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$9.0B$774.1M$728.6M
2024$8.4B$805.1M$521.5M
2023$7.8B$765.2M$845.4M
2022$8.5B$1.0B$670.8M
2021$7.7B$841.1M$489.0M
2020$6.7B$461.0M$611.6M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +2.0%.

Earnings

Next report: –
No EPS history available.
Insider trades
Shirley Donald R.
Exec. VP · 2026-08-20
Sell
$3.0M
Hassfurther Thomas A
President · 2026-08-07
Sell
$1.8M
Hassfurther Thomas A
President · 2026-08-05
Sell
$2.3M
Hassfurther Thomas A
President · 2026-08-03
Sell
$3.1M

Stats refreshed – ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026