PTON
Peloton Interactive, Inc.
$5.45
+4.21% 2026-10-20
Consumer DiscretionaryS&P 600
PTONSPY
1W
+4.4%
1M
+9.7%
3M
-14.3%
6M
+9.0%
YTD
-11.5%
1Y
-27.0%
Live chart
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Grades vs sector
Momentum15th pct in sectorD-
Momentum
15th pct in sector
12-1 return: -31.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth29th pct in sectorD+
Growth
29th pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): +0.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value35th pct in sectorC-
Value
35th pct in sector
Forward E/P: 4.5% · EBITDA/EV: 9.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability23rd pct in sectorD
Profitability
23rd pct in sector
Profit margin: +2.6% · Return on equity: –
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
RevisionsNot enough data yet–
Revisions
Not enough data yet
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Top 15not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
New Highs Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Conviction 20not in the current book
News
More newsISG Event to Focus on Enterprise Transformations that Deliver AI Success
Business Wire · Oct 14
3 Cash-Producing Stocks We Approach with Caution
StockStory · Oct 14
3 Russell 2000 Stocks We’re Skeptical Of
StockStory · Oct 12
Why You Were Right For Not Buying Peloton Stock In 2021
Money Digest · Oct 06
Peloton Interactive (PTON) Unveils New Treadmills, Is The Valuation Already Full?
Simply Wall St. · Oct 06
Key stats
Market cap$2.4B
P/E (trailing)38.9
P/E (forward)23.0
52-week range3.65 – 8.19
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+0.1%
Dividend yield0.00%
Analyst consensusNone (15)
Mean price target$7.90 (+45%)
Valuation and fundamentals
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 83%
▼Forward P/E vs sector23.0x vs median 13.4x
▲Piotroski F-score8/9
▼Altman Z-1.1 (distress)
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.6x
▲Analyst target+45% (15 analysts)
Discounted cash flow
Bear
$1
-90%
growth -7% · disc. 14.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$1
-83%
growth -2% · disc. 13.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$1
-75%
growth 1% · disc. 12.0% · term. 3.0%
A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 22% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+22%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
n/a
FCF, last 5 yrs
n/a
Revenue, last 3 yrs
-4%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
-9%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.1B, 13.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (FY to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 2.55 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary
P/E (trailing)
pricier
sector median 17.7× · 91st pct
38.9×pricier
Forward P/E
pricier
sector median 13.4× · 86th pct
23.0×pricier
EV / EBITDA
pricier
sector median 11.3× · 52nd pct
11.6×pricier
Price / sales
cheaper
sector median 1.2× · 42nd pct
1.0×cheaper
Price / book
sector median 2.8×
–FCF yield
pricier
sector median 6.6% · 22nd pct
3.0%pricier
Forward EPS $0.24 vs trailing $0.14 (+69% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
52.6%
Operating margin
6.6%
FCF margin
2.9%
Net margin
2.6%
Return on equity
–
Return on invested capital
–
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6×
Current ratio
2.8×
Interest cover
1.3×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
6.1×
Piotroski F-score 8/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved
Altman Z-score -1.1 (distress zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.
Analysts
Mean target
$8
+45%
Analysts
15
None
Range
$4–$20
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.4B | $63.2M | $387.6M |
| 2025 | $2.5B | $-118.9M | $333.0M |
| 2024 | $2.7B | $-551.9M | $-66.1M |
| 2023 | $2.8B | $-1.3B | $-387.6M |
| 2022 | $3.6B | $-2.8B | $-2.0B |
| 2021 | $4.0B | $-189.0M | $-480.7M |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -4.4%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-11-05 · before open · EPS est 0.11
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | 0.12 | 0.13 | +7.1% |
| 2026-05-07 | 0.08 | 0.06 | -20.4% |
| 2026-02-05 | -0.05 | -0.03 | +41.1% |
| 2025-11-06 | 0.01 | 0.06 | +504.0% |
| 2025-08-07 | -0.03 | 0.11 | +479.0% |
| 2025-05-08 | -0.06 | -0.12 | -97.4% |
| 2025-02-06 | -0.16 | -0.19 | -19.2% |
| 2024-10-31 | -0.14 | 0.08 | +156.0% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $607.7M | +0.1% |
| 2026-03-31 | $630.9M | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $656.5M | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $550.8M | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $606.9M | – |
Analyst actions
Morgan Stanley
PT $4
2026-09-08 · down
Equal-Weight → UnderweightPT $4
UBS
PT $10
2026-09-08 · main
Buy → BuyPT $10
Macquarie
PT $7
2026-05-08 · main
Outperform → OutperformPT $7
Goldman Sachs
PT $8
2026-05-08 · main
Buy → BuyPT $8
Citigroup
PT $5
2026-02-12 · main
Neutral → NeutralPT $5
JP Morgan
PT $6
2026-02-06 · main
Neutral → NeutralPT $6
Insider trades
Kirol Charles Peter
$153.8K
Chief Operating Officer · 2026-10-15
SELL$153.8K
Baig Saqib
$26.8K
Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-08-19
SELL$26.8K
Sanders Dion C.
$613.4K
Chief Commercial Officer · 2026-08-19
SELL$613.4K
Baig Saqib
$195.4K
Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-08-17
SELL$195.4K
Boone Karen
$133.7K
Director · 2026-08-17
SELL$133.7K
Kirol Charles Peter
$20.8K
Chief Operating Officer · 2026-07-20
SELL$20.8K
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Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 17:52:24 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteau
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.