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REPX

REPX

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.
$48.34
-1.23% Oct 21 close
Energy Compare
-11%+14%+38%+63%+88%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
REPXSPY
1W
+4.1%
1M
+19.0%
3M
+35.3%
6M
+36.9%
YTD
+90.2%
1Y
+90.9%

Live chart

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What they do

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in Texas and New Mexico. Its acreage is primarily located on contiguous blocks in Yoakum County, Texas; and oil and natural gas properties in the Yeso trend of the Permian Basin in Eddy County, New Mexico.

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

No sector grades for REPX yet. Grades rank S&P 1500 stocks within their sector and refresh after each daily data run, so a stock outside that index or newly covered has none.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
Elite Energy Stocks To Own In October 2026
Simply Wall St. · Oct 17
2 Momentum Stocks with Exciting Potential and 1 We Turn Down
StockStory · Oct 15

Key stats

Market value$1.0B
P/E (last 12 months)8.6
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)5.9
52-week range$24.08 – $50.00
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+94.2%
Dividend yield3.27%
Analyst consensusStrong Buy (4)
Average analyst price target$46.00 (-5%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +2 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 1341%
•Piotroski F-score6/9
•Altman Z2.1 (grey)
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.8x
•Analyst target-5% (4 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$300
+521%
growth 18% · disc. 10.5% · term. 2.0%
Base
$697
+1341%
growth 30% · disc. 9.5% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$1,327
+2646%
growth 38% · disc. 8.5% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price implies shrinking cash flows: about -12% a year for 10 years.
Implied
-12%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+8%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
n/a
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+7%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
>150%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.2B, 9.5% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.04 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs sector

Forward EPS $8.14 vs trailing $5.62 (+45% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
–
Operating margin
38.4%
FCF margin
49.4%
Net margin
24.5%
Return on equity
18.7%
Return on invested capital
16.3%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.8×
Current ratio
0.4×
Interest cover
6.1×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
2.0×
Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 2.1 (grey zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$46
-5%
Analysts
4
Strong Buy
Range
$41–$51
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$392.0M$160.8M$212.5M
2024$410.2M$88.9M$246.3M
2023$375.0M$111.6M$207.2M
2022$321.7M$118.0M$170.3M
2021$151.0M$-65.7M–
2020$3.0M$-3.6M$-1.5M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +6.8%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-04 · during market · EPS est 1.97
24-1125-0325-0525-0825-1126-0326-0526-080.001.63
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-051.631.54-5.8%
2026-05-061.101.02-7.3%
2026-03-040.831.01+21.7%
2025-11-051.030.88-14.6%
2025-08-061.031.02-1.4%
2025-05-071.571.62+3.2%
2025-03-051.521.20-20.7%
2024-11-061.551.49-3.6%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$165.8M+94.2%
2026-03-31$113.9M–
2025-12-31$97.3M–
2025-09-30$106.9M–
2025-06-30$85.4M–
Analyst actions
Truist Securities
2026-08-12 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $41
Roth Capital
2026-07-23 · reit
Buy → Buy
PT $45
Truist Securities
2026-03-24 · init
Buy → Buy
PT $47
Freedom Broker
2026-03-11 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $52
William Blair
2025-11-21 · init
→ Outperform
Freedom Broker
2025-11-14 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $56

Recent dividends

2026-07-29: $0.400 · 2026-04-29: $0.400 · 2026-01-22: $0.400 · 2025-10-21: $0.400 · 2025-07-24: $0.380 · 2025-04-24: $0.380 · 2025-01-23: $0.380 · 2024-10-24: $0.380
Insider trades
Riley Philip A
CFO & EVP STRATEGY · 2026-08-18
Sell
$150.4K
Riley Bobby
Director, CEO · 2026-08-10
Sell
$321.5K
Riley Bobby
Director, CEO · 2026-08-10
Sell
$126.6K
Riley Corey Neil
CIO & CCO · 2026-08-10
Sell
$121.8K
Riley Corey Neil
CIO & CCO · 2026-08-10
Sell
$1.4K
None
None · None
Sell
–
None
None · None
Sell
–
None
None · None
Sell
–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 11:28:58 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026