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SFIX

Stitch Fix, Inc.
$2.78
+5.30% 2026-10-20
Consumer Cyclical
1M3M6M1Y2Y
-51%-32%-12%+8%+28%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
SFIXSPY
1W
+13.5%
1M
-2.1%
3M
-27.6%
6M
-30.0%
YTD
-47.0%
1Y
-37.1%

Live chart

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Grades vs sector

Momentum
Not enough data yet
–

Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
Not enough data yet
–

Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
Not enough data yet
–

Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
Not enough data yet
–

Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–

30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
 Momentum Top 15
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
 Momentum Blend
not in the current book
 New Highs Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
 Conviction 20
not in the current book

News

More news
1 Unprofitable Stock with Exciting Potential and 2 We Find Risky
StockStory · Oct 19
Stitch Fix (SFIX) Stock Fair Value Falls After Analysts Cut Growth Expectations
Simply Wall St. · Oct 09
Stitch Fix Conference: AI, Client Retention Fuel Growth Ambitions
MarketBeat · Oct 08
3 Stocks Under $10 That Fall Short
StockStory · Oct 05
Stocktwits Retail Therapy: Consumer Stocks Face Heat But Carnival, Mattel And Stitch Fix Buck The Trend
Stocktwits · Oct 05

Key stats

Market cap$371.4M
P/E (trailing)–
P/E (forward)-55.6
52-week range2.10 – 5.75
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+4.2%
Dividend yield0.00%
Analyst consensusHold (5)
Mean price target$3.40 (+22%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 33%
▼Piotroski F-score3/9
•Altman Z2.2 (grey)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-185.1x
▲Analyst target+22% (5 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$2
-39%
growth -6% · disc. 14.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$2
-33%
growth -1% · disc. 13.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$2
-27%
growth 2% · disc. 12.0% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 15% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+15%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
n/a
FCF, last 5 yrs
n/a
Revenue, last 3 yrs
-5%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
-8%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.0B, 13.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (FY to 2026-08-01). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 2.35 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs sector

Forward EPS $-0.05 vs trailing $-0.09. Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
43.7%
Operating margin
-1.6%
FCF margin
0.7%
Net margin
-0.9%
Return on equity
-6.4%
Return on invested capital
-72.8%
Net debt / EBITDA
-185.1×
Current ratio
1.5×
Interest cover
–
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
–
Piotroski F-score 3/9 · last two fiscal years
✗ Positive net income✗ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✗ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✗ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 2.2 (grey zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$3
+22%
Analysts
5
Hold
Range
$2–$4
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2026$1.3B$-12.6M–
2025$1.3B$-28.7M–
2024$1.3B$-128.8M$14.2M
2023$1.6B$-172.0M$54.4M
2022$2.0B$-207.1M$30.3M
2021$2.1B$-8.9M$-50.9M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -5.4%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-12-03 · during market · EPS est -0.06
24-1225-0325-0625-0925-1226-0326-0626-09-0.130.00
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-09-23-0.06-0.01+84.9%
2026-06-10-0.05-0.01+81.0%
2026-03-11-0.04-0.02+46.2%
2025-12-04-0.04-0.02+59.8%
2025-09-24-0.10-0.06+38.7%
2025-06-10-0.11-0.06+48.5%
2025-03-11-0.10-0.05+54.1%
2024-12-10-0.13-0.03+76.9%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-04-30$340.3M+4.7%
2026-01-31$341.3M–
2025-10-31$342.1M–
2025-07-31$311.2M–
2025-04-30$325.0M–
Analyst actions
Mizuho
2026-09-29 · up
Underperform → Neutral
PT $2
UBS
2026-09-24 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $4
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-09-24 · main
Market Perform → Market Perform
PT $3
William Blair
2026-09-24 · down
Outperform → Market Perform
UBS
2026-09-02 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $4
UBS
2026-06-11 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $4
Insider trades
Bacos Anthony
Chief Prod/Technology Officer · 2026-08-03
SELL
$204.4K
Bacos Anthony
Chief Prod/Technology Officer · 2026-08-03
SELL
$81.7K
Bacos Anthony
Chief Prod/Technology Officer · 2026-07-27
SELL
$188.7K
Bacos Anthony
Chief Prod/Technology Officer · 2026-07-27
SELL
$74.8K
None
None · None
SELL
–
None
None · None
SELL
–
None
None · None
SELL
–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 17:52:25 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.

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