SFM
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
$64.72
+0.72% 2026-10-20
Consumer StaplesS&P 400
SFMSPY
1W
+1.8%
1M
-8.6%
3M
-13.3%
6M
-14.0%
YTD
-18.8%
1Y
-41.4%
Live chart
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Grades vs sector
Momentum24th pct in sectorD+
Momentum
24th pct in sector
12-1 return: -16.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth57th pct in sectorB-
Growth
57th pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): +4.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value73rd pct in sectorB+
Value
73rd pct in sector
Forward E/P: 9.1% · EBITDA/EV: 10.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability72nd pct in sectorB+
Profitability
72nd pct in sector
Profit margin: +5.6% · Return on equity: +35.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
RevisionsNot enough data yet–
Revisions
Not enough data yet
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Top 15not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
New Highs Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Conviction 20not in the current book
News
More newsKey stats
Market cap$6.0B
P/E (trailing)12.4
P/E (forward)10.9
52-week range61.88 – 111.83
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+4.7%
Dividend yield0.00%
Analyst consensusBuy (14)
Mean price target$92.64 (+43%)
Valuation and fundamentals
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
Looks undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +5 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 66%
▲Forward P/E vs sector10.9x vs median 14.5x
▲Piotroski F-score7/9
▲Altman Z4.1 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA-0.1x
▲Analyst target+43% (14 analysts)
Discounted cash flow
Bear
$64
-2%
growth 3% · disc. 8.6% · term. 2.0%
Base
$107
+66%
growth 8% · disc. 7.6% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$179
+176%
growth 11% · disc. 6.6% · term. 3.0%
A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 0% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+0%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+24%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+5%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+11%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+6%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.4B, 7.6% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-28). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.67 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Consumer Staples
P/E (trailing)
cheaper
sector median 23.5× · 4th pct
12.4×cheaper
Forward P/E
cheaper
sector median 14.5× · 23rd pct
10.9×cheaper
EV / EBITDA
cheaper
sector median 11.9× · 7th pct
7.1×cheaper
Price / sales
cheaper
sector median 1.1× · 34th pct
0.7×cheaper
Price / book
pricier
sector median 3.1× · 58th pct
4.0×pricier
FCF yield
pricier
sector median 6.5% · 48th pct
5.9%pricier
Forward EPS $5.93 vs trailing $5.23 (+13% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
38.7%
Operating margin
7.4%
FCF margin
4.0%
Net margin
5.6%
Return on equity
33.5%
Return on invested capital
35.6%
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.1×
Current ratio
1.0×
Interest cover
24.4×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.3×
Piotroski F-score 7/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved
Altman Z-score 4.1 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.
Analysts
Mean target
$93
+43%
Analysts
14
Buy
Range
$70–$114
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $8.8B | $523.7M | $467.7M |
| 2024 | $7.7B | $380.6M | $414.8M |
| 2023 | $6.8B | $258.9M | $239.8M |
| 2023 | $6.4B | $261.2M | $247.3M |
| 2022 | $6.1B | $244.2M | $262.4M |
| 2021 | $6.5B | $287.4M | $372.1M |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +11.2%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-10-28 · after close · EPS est 1.23
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | 1.34 | 1.37 | +2.0% |
| 2026-04-29 | 1.67 | 1.71 | +2.1% |
| 2026-02-19 | 0.89 | 0.92 | +3.8% |
| 2025-10-29 | 1.17 | 1.22 | +4.6% |
| 2025-07-30 | 1.23 | 1.35 | +9.4% |
| 2025-04-30 | 1.55 | 1.81 | +17.1% |
| 2025-02-20 | 0.74 | 0.79 | +6.7% |
| 2024-10-30 | 0.78 | 0.91 | +17.2% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $2.3B | +4.7% |
| 2026-03-31 | $2.3B | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $2.1B | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $2.2B | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $2.2B | – |
Analyst actions
RBC Capital
PT $111
2026-10-20 · main
Outperform → OutperformPT $111
JP Morgan
PT $90
2026-10-06 · main
Overweight → OverweightPT $90
Deutsche Bank
PT $77
2026-09-25 · main
Hold → HoldPT $77
Evercore ISI Group
PT $95
2026-09-01 · main
Outperform → OutperformPT $95
UBS
PT $86
2026-07-30 · main
Neutral → NeutralPT $86
Evercore ISI Group
PT $90
2026-07-30 · main
Outperform → OutperformPT $90
Insider trades
Sinclair Jack
$695.6K
Director, Chief Executive Officer · 2026-10-05
SELL$695.6K
Sinclair Jack
$698.7K
Director, Chief Executive Officer · 2026-10-02
SELL$698.7K
Hamilton Dustin
$23.5K
Chief Stores Officer · 2026-09-08
SELL$23.5K
Sinclair Jack
$844.1K
Director, Chief Executive Officer · 2026-09-02
SELL$844.1K
Sinclair Jack
$891.7K
Director, Chief Executive Officer · 2026-09-01
SELL$891.7K
O'Leary Joseph D
$214.4K
Director · 2026-08-14
SELL$214.4K
Sinclair Jack
$936.4K
Director, Chief Executive Officer · 2026-08-04
SELL$936.4K
Sinclair Jack
$963.8K
Director, Chief Executive Officer · 2026-08-03
SELL$963.8K
Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 17:52:15 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteau
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.