SKYD · Coteau

SKYD

Skydance Corporation

$7.10

+4.41% 2026-10-20

Communication ServicesS&P 500

1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y

SKYDSPY

-23.4%

-30.5%

-16.4%

-38.3%

YTD

-46.2%

-57.4%

Live chart

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Grades vs sector

Momentum

23rd pct in sector

12-1 return: -31.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Growth

27th pct in sector

D+

Revenue growth (YoY): +0.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Value

50th pct in sector

C+

Forward E/P: 2.9% · EBITDA/EV: 14.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Profitability

17th pct in sector

Profit margin: -2.1% · Return on equity: -0.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Revisions

Not enough data yet

–

EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth

not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)

Momentum Top 15

rank 486 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % -41.5

Momentum Blend

not in the current book

New Highs Growth

not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)

Conviction 20

not in the current book

News

More news

SKYDANCE TO REPORT THIRD QUARTER 2026 FINANCIAL RESULTS ON NOVEMBER 9, 2026

PR Newswire · 7h ago

Laurene Powell Jobs Bought $250 Million of Skydance Stock. Now She Is Down $100 Million.

Barrons.com · 9h ago

Skydance Rises 5% as Steep Post-Merger Slide Pauses; Disney Gains 2%, Netflix Slips

24/7 Wall St. · 9h ago

Laurene Powell Jobs’ $250 Million Skydance Stock Buy Is Already Underwater

Barrons.com · 13h ago

Could Skydance Pose a Big Threat to Netflix's Future Growth?

Nasdaq · 19h ago

Key stats

Market cap$35.8B

P/E (trailing)–

P/E (forward)35.8

52-week range6.61 – 17.29

Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+0.9%

Dividend yield2.94%

Analyst consensusHold (16)

Mean price target$8.87 (+25%)

Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line

Leans expensive

Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).

▼DCF (base case)below the price by 82%

▼Forward P/E vs sector35.8x vs median 11.0x

▲Analyst target+25% (16 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear

-86%

growth -4% · disc. 13.0% · term. 2.0%

Base

-82%

growth 1% · disc. 12.0% · term. 2.5%

Bull

-77%

growth 4% · disc. 11.0% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal

Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 29% a year for 10 years.

Implied

+29%/yr

FCF, last 3 yrs

n/a

FCF, last 5 yrs

n/a

Revenue, last 3 yrs

n/a

Revenue, last 5 yrs

n/a

Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.5B, 12.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2024; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.

Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly

Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (FY to 2024-12-31). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.55 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Communication Services

P/E (trailing)

sector median 18.8×

–

Forward P/E

sector median 11.0× · 93rd pct

35.8×
pricier

EV / EBITDA

sector median 12.2×

–

Price / sales

sector median 1.9× · 24th pct

1.2×
cheaper

Price / book

sector median 2.3× · 59th pct

3.0×
pricier

FCF yield

sector median 8.2% · 14th pct

1.4%
pricier

Forward EPS $0.20 vs trailing $-0.02. Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO

$6.0B

as of 2026-06-30

vs a year ago

–

YoY

× TTM revenue

0.21×

coverage

25-09

25-12

26-03

26-06

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

-18.0%

FCF margin

1.7%

Net margin

-21.2%

Return on equity

-52.6%

Return on invested capital

-41.0%

Net debt / EBITDA

–

Current ratio

1.0×

Interest cover

-6.1×

Cash conversion (OCF/NI)

–

Analysts

Mean target

+25%

Analysts

Hold

Range

$2–$14

low – high

● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FY	Revenue	Net income	Free cash flow
2024	$29.2B	$-6.2B	$489.0M
2023	$29.7B	$-608.0M	$147.0M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR –.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-09 · during market · EPS est 0.18

EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)

Report	EPS est	Actual	Surprise
2026-08-04	0.16	0.18	+9.7%
2026-05-04	0.15	0.23	+51.4%
2026-02-25	-0.01	-0.12	-732.2%
2025-11-10	0.41	-0.12	-129.6%
2025-07-31	0.36	0.46	+27.4%
2025-05-08	0.19	0.29	+52.6%
2025-02-26	0.11	-0.11	-204.7%
2024-11-08	0.20	0.49	+141.6%

Quarterly revenue

Quarter	Revenue	YoY
2026-06-30	$6.9B	–
2026-03-31	$7.3B	–
2025-06-30	$6.8B	–
2025-03-31	$7.2B	–

Analyst actions

Bernstein

2026-10-16 · main

Underperform → Underperform
PT $6

StoneX

2026-10-12 · main

Buy → Buy
PT $11

Barclays

2026-10-07 · main

Underweight → Underweight
PT $7

Citizens

2026-09-22 · reit

Market Outperform → Market Outperform
PT $14

Morgan Stanley

2026-09-22 · main

Overweight → Overweight
PT $12

Citizens

2026-09-14 · init

→ Market Outperform
PT $14

Recent dividends

2026-09-15: $0.050 · 2026-06-15: $0.050 · 2026-03-16: $0.050 · 2025-12-18: $0.050 · 2025-09-15: $0.050 · 2025-06-16: $0.050 · 2025-03-17: $0.050 · 2024-12-16: $0.050

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Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 18:03:36 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.

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