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THG

The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.
$231.97
+0.53% Oct 20 close
FinancialsS&P 400 Compare
-5%+6%+16%+27%+38%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
THGSPY
1W
+4.3%
1M
+2.1%
3M
+8.3%
6M
+29.6%
YTD
+28.8%
1Y
+37.7%

Live chart

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What they do

The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. provides various property and casualty insurance products and services for individuals and businesses in the United States. It operates in four segments: Core Commercial, Specialty, Personal Lines, and Other. The company offers commercial multiple peril, commercial automobile, workers' compensation, and other core commercial coverage.

Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
76th percentile in sector
B+
12-1 return: +27.8%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
22nd percentile in sector
D
Revenue growth (YoY): +4.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
35th percentile in sector
C-
Forward E/P: 8.4% · EBITDA/EV: –
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
51st percentile in sector
C+
Profit margin: +11.2% · Return on equity: +21.9%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
Hanover Insurance Group (THG) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: What to Know Ahead of Q3 Release
Zacks · 18h ago
Caught Out By THG's Slide? Here's What Investors Missed
Simply Wall St. · Oct 16
THG lifts earnings forecast on sports nutrition business
Just Drinks · Oct 15
THG lifts earnings forecast on sports nutrition business
Just Food · Oct 15
Hanover Insurance (THG) is an Incredible Growth Stock: 3 Reasons Why
Zacks · Oct 14

Key stats

Market value$8.1B
P/E (last 12 months)11.1
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)11.8
52-week range$166.54 – $236.07
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+4.3%
Dividend yield1.64%
Analyst consensusHold (8)
Average analyst price target$235.88 (+2%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +1 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 170%
▼Forward P/E vs sector11.8x vs median 10.2x
•Piotroski F-score5/9
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.6x
•Analyst target+2% (8 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$391
+68%
growth 0% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$626
+170%
growth 5% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$947
+308%
growth 8% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Not meaningful for property & casualty insurance: for banks, insurers and lenders, cash moving through loans and deposits swamps "free cash flow". Book value and earnings are better guides.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.25 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Financials

P/E (trailing)
sector median 13.0× · 29th pct
11.1×
cheaper
Forward P/E
sector median 10.2× · 65th pct
11.8×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 10.9× · 33rd pct
8.4×
cheaper
Price / sales
sector median 2.8× · 21st pct
1.2×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 1.6× · 66th pct
2.2×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 8.2% · 84th pct
15.5%
cheaper

Forward EPS $19.64 vs trailing $20.89 (-6% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
–
Operating margin
15.4%
FCF margin
18.5%
Net margin
11.2%
Return on equity
20.6%
Return on invested capital
19.1%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.6×
Current ratio
–
Interest cover
22.1×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.7×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target
$236
+2%
Analysts
8
Hold
Range
$223–$260
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$6.6B$662.5M$1.2B
2024$6.2B$426.0M$796.2M
2023$6.0B$35.3M$349.8M
2022$5.5B$116.0M$704.5M
2021$5.2B$422.8M$815.7M
2020$4.8B$358.7M$692.7M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +6.4%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-28 · after close · EPS est 4.57
24-1025-0225-0425-0725-1026-0226-0426-070.005.79
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-07-283.765.31+41.3%
2026-04-294.225.25+24.5%
2026-02-035.035.79+15.1%
2025-10-294.225.09+20.7%
2025-07-303.114.35+40.1%
2025-04-303.513.87+10.1%
2025-02-043.395.32+57.0%
2024-10-302.523.05+21.1%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$1.7B+4.3%
2026-03-31$1.7B–
2025-12-31$1.7B–
2025-09-30$1.7B–
2025-06-30$1.7B–
Analyst actions
Morgan Stanley
2026-10-06 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $230
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2026-09-18 · main
Market Perform → Market Perform
PT $232
Morgan Stanley
2026-08-19 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $240
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
2026-08-06 · main
Market Perform → Market Perform
PT $222
RBC Capital
2026-07-30 · main
Sector Perform → Sector Perform
PT $235
Citizens
2026-07-29 · main
Market Outperform → Market Outperform
PT $240

Recent dividends

2026-09-11: $0.950 · 2026-06-12: $0.950 · 2026-03-13: $0.950 · 2025-12-12: $0.950 · 2025-09-12: $0.900 · 2025-06-13: $0.900 · 2025-03-14: $0.900 · 2024-12-13: $0.900
Insider trades
Kerrigan Dennis Francis
Executive Vice President · 2026-08-20
Sell
$379.9K
Kerrigan Dennis Francis
Executive Vice President · 2026-08-20
Sell
$88.0K
Kerrigan Dennis Francis
Executive Vice President · 2026-08-19
Sell
$49.9K
Kerrigan Dennis Francis
Executive Vice President · 2026-08-19
Sell
$333.7K
Kerrigan Dennis Francis
Executive Vice President · 2026-08-19
Sell
$1.1M
Bunting Theodore H Jr
Director · 2026-08-06
Sell
$138.1K
Bunting Theodore H Jr
Director · 2026-08-05
Sell
$136.8K
Carlin Jane D
Director · 2026-08-03
Sell
$231.5K
None
None · None
Sell
–
None
None · None
Sell
–
None
None · None
Sell
–
None
None · None
Sell
–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:07:01 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026