TJX
TJX
The TJX Companies, Inc.
$146.99
-0.25% 2026-10-20
Consumer DiscretionaryS&P 500
TJXSPY
1W
+3.9%
1M
+15.5%
3M
-4.9%
6M
-7.1%
YTD
-3.4%
1Y
+3.8%
Live chart
Loading live chart…
Grades vs sector
Momentum44th pct in sectorC
Momentum
44th pct in sector
12-1 return: -4.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth57th pct in sectorB-
Growth
57th pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): +5.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value12th pct in sectorD-
Value
12th pct in sector
Forward E/P: 3.9% · EBITDA/EV: 5.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability79th pct in sectorB+
Profitability
79th pct in sector
Profit margin: +9.7% · Return on equity: +62.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
RevisionsNot enough data yet–
Revisions
Not enough data yet
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Top 15rank 386 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % -6.2
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
New Highs Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Conviction 20not in the current book
News
More newsTJX Companies (TJX) files 8-K: executive or board change
SEC 8-K · 19h ago
What State Street Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY) Sold: Amazon Leads on Oct. 16
GuruFocus.com · 22h ago
Deep Hardware-Software Integration Drives Apple’s (AAPL) Underappreciated AI Advantage
Insider Monkey · Oct 19
What Makes Motorola (MSI) a Strong Bet?
Insider Monkey · Oct 19
TSMC (TSM) Underperforms in Q3 as Semiconductor ‘Crowded Trade’ Unwinds
Insider Monkey · Oct 19
Key stats
Market cap$161.7B
P/E (trailing)27.2
P/E (forward)25.5
52-week range122.78 – 170.00
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+5.4%
Dividend yield1.30%
Analyst consensusStrong Buy (19)
Mean price target$171.68 (+17%)
Valuation and fundamentals
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
Roughly fairly valued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +0 (DCF counts double).
•DCF (base case)above the price by 2%
▼Forward P/E vs sector25.5x vs median 13.4x
•Piotroski F-score6/9
▲Net debt / EBITDA-0.5x
▲Analyst target+17% (19 analysts)
Discounted cash flow
Bear
$88
-40%
growth 1% · disc. 8.1% · term. 2.0%
Base
$151
+2%
growth 6% · disc. 7.1% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$262
+78%
growth 9% · disc. 6.1% · term. 3.0%
A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 5% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+5%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+23%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+4%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+7%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+13%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 5.9B, 7.1% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2026; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-08-01). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.56 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary
P/E (trailing)
pricier
sector median 17.7× · 76th pct
27.2×pricier
Forward P/E
pricier
sector median 13.4× · 90th pct
25.5×pricier
EV / EBITDA
pricier
sector median 11.3× · 95th pct
26.1×pricier
Price / sales
pricier
sector median 1.2× · 77th pct
2.6×pricier
Price / book
pricier
sector median 2.8× · 90th pct
15.2×pricier
FCF yield
pricier
sector median 6.6% · 28th pct
3.6%pricier
Forward EPS $5.77 vs trailing $5.40 (+7% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
32.0%
Operating margin
7.6%
FCF margin
9.4%
Net margin
9.7%
Return on equity
57.0%
Return on invested capital
47.8%
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.5×
Current ratio
1.1×
Interest cover
60.3×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.3×
Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved
Analysts
Mean target
$172
+17%
Analysts
19
Strong Buy
Range
$136–$198
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $60.4B | $5.5B | $4.9B |
| 2025 | $56.4B | $4.9B | $4.2B |
| 2024 | $54.2B | $4.5B | $4.3B |
| 2023 | $49.9B | $3.5B | $2.6B |
| 2022 | $48.5B | $3.3B | $2.0B |
| 2021 | $32.1B | $90.0M | $4.0B |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +6.5%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-11-18 · before open · EPS est 1.34
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | 1.19 | 1.36 | +14.5% |
| 2026-05-20 | 1.02 | 1.19 | +17.2% |
| 2026-02-25 | 1.38 | 1.58 | +14.1% |
| 2025-11-19 | 1.22 | 1.28 | +5.0% |
| 2025-08-20 | 1.01 | 1.10 | +8.4% |
| 2025-05-21 | 0.91 | 0.92 | +1.5% |
| 2025-02-26 | 1.17 | 1.23 | +5.5% |
| 2024-11-20 | 1.09 | 1.14 | +4.2% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | $15.2B | +5.4% |
| 2026-04-30 | $14.3B | – |
| 2026-01-31 | $17.7B | – |
| 2025-10-31 | $15.1B | – |
| 2025-07-31 | $14.4B | – |
Analyst actions
Jefferies
PT $145
2026-08-26 · down
Buy → HoldPT $145
Citigroup
PT $154
2026-08-20 · down
Buy → NeutralPT $154
Morgan Stanley
PT $178
2026-08-20 · main
Overweight → OverweightPT $178
UBS
PT $198
2026-08-20 · main
Buy → BuyPT $198
BTIG
PT $190
2026-08-20 · reit
Buy → BuyPT $190
Barclays
PT $188
2026-08-20 · main
Overweight → OverweightPT $188
Recent dividends
2026-08-13: $0.480 · 2026-05-14: $0.480 · 2026-02-12: $0.425 · 2025-11-13: $0.425 · 2025-08-14: $0.425 · 2025-05-15: $0.425 · 2025-02-13: $0.375 · 2024-11-14: $0.375
Insider trades
None
–
None · None
SELL–
Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 18:02:40 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteau
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.