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Tyson Foods, Inc.
$55.38
+2.56% 2026-10-20
Consumer StaplesS&P 500
-5%+4%+14%+24%+33%Oct 2025Apr 2026Oct 2026
TSNSPY
1W
+3.0%
1M
+4.9%
3M
-2.0%
6M
-12.7%
YTD
-3.1%
1Y
+9.2%

Live chart

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Grades vs sector

Momentum
51st pct in sector
C+
12-1 return: +1.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
29th pct in sector
D+
Revenue growth (YoY): -0.1%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
65th pct in sector
B
Forward E/P: 7.5% · EBITDA/EV: 10.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
18th pct in sector
D
Profit margin: +1.0% · Return on equity: +3.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Top 15
rank 295 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 4.2
Momentum Blend
not in the current book
New Highs Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Conviction 20
not in the current book

News

More news
Should Tyson Foods Stock Holders Look At JM Smucker Instead?
Trefis · Oct 16

Key stats

Market cap$19.5B
P/E (trailing)34.2
P/E (forward)13.8
52-week range49.96 – 69.48
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)-0.1%
Dividend yield3.78%
Analyst consensusHold (12)
Mean price target$63.00 (+14%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +2 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 23%
•Forward P/E vs sector13.8x vs median 14.5x
•Piotroski F-score6/9
▲Net debt / EBITDA-0.3x
•Analyst target+14% (12 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$40
-28%
growth -5% · disc. 8.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$68
+23%
growth 0% · disc. 7.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$118
+112%
growth 3% · disc. 6.0% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price implies shrinking cash flows: about -2% a year for 10 years.
Implied
-2%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+14%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
-15%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+1%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+5%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 1.2B, 7.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net cash and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-27). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.40 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Staples

P/E (trailing)
sector median 23.5× · 75th pct
34.2×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 14.5× · 42nd pct
13.8×
cheaper
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.9× · 7th pct
7.1×
cheaper
Price / sales
sector median 1.1× · 12th pct
0.3×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 3.1× · 11th pct
1.1×
cheaper
FCF yield
sector median 6.5% · 48th pct
6.0%
pricier

Forward EPS $4.00 vs trailing $1.62 (+147% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
6.1%
Operating margin
2.3%
FCF margin
2.1%
Net margin
1.0%
Return on equity
3.2%
Return on invested capital
5.3%
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.3×
Current ratio
1.4×
Interest cover
3.1×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
3.5×
Piotroski F-score 6/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

Mean target
$63
+14%
Analysts
12
Hold
Range
$56–$75
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$54.4B$474.0M$1.2B
2024$53.3B$800.0M$1.5B
2023$52.9B$-648.0M$-187.0M
2022$53.3B$3.2B$800.0M
2021$47.0B$3.0B$2.6B
2020$43.2B$2.1B$2.7B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +0.7%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-16 · before open · EPS est 0.68
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-080.001.15
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-030.990.99+0.3%
2026-05-040.780.87+11.6%
2026-02-020.940.97+3.1%
2025-11-100.831.15+37.8%
2025-08-040.780.91+16.2%
2025-05-050.820.92+12.2%
2025-02-030.881.14+29.9%
2024-11-120.690.92+33.6%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$13.9B-0.1%
2026-03-31$13.7B–
2025-12-31$14.3B–
2025-09-30$13.9B–
2025-06-30$13.9B–
Analyst actions
Piper Sandler
2026-10-07 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $56
JP Morgan
2026-09-18 · up
Neutral → Overweight
PT $63
Piper Sandler
2026-09-10 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $66
BMO Capital
2026-09-04 · main
Outperform → Outperform
PT $65
Barclays
2026-09-04 · main
Overweight → Overweight
PT $75
JP Morgan
2026-07-14 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $65

Recent dividends

2026-09-01: $0.510 · 2026-06-01: $0.510 · 2026-02-27: $0.510 · 2025-12-01: $0.510 · 2025-08-29: $0.500 · 2025-05-30: $0.500 · 2025-02-28: $0.500 · 2024-11-29: $0.500
Insider trades
Schomburger Jeffrey K
Director, President & CEO Elect · 2026-09-04
BUY
$1.0M

Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 18:08:24 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.