UPS

United Parcel Service

$97.46

-0.02% Oct 19 close

IndustrialsS&P 500 Compare Technicals

1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y

UPSSPY

+2.2%

-1.6%

-12.5%

-6.0%

YTD

+2.9%

+20.2%

Live chart

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What they do

United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery services for express letters, documents, packages and palletized freight through air and ground services.

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum

43rd percentile in sector

12-1 return: +3.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Growth

42nd percentile in sector

Revenue growth (YoY): +7.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Value

85th percentile in sector

A-

Forward E/P: 8.3% · EBITDA/EV: 11.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Profitability

56th percentile in sector

B-

Profit margin: +5.1% · Return on equity: +29.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.

Revisions

Not enough data yet

–

EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth

ranked 72 of 360 · Composite (0-1) 0.6

Momentum Top 15

ranked 125 of 499 · 12-month momentum 33.0%

Momentum Blend

Not in the current book

New Highs Growth

Outside this model's universe or screens

Coteau Long Book

Not in the current book

News

More news

Delta Air Lines Shares Rose Even As Profit Fell

Simply Wall St. · 12h ago

UPS Volume Is Still Falling. Does Better Pricing Make Up For It?

Trefis · Oct 21

1 Number Every UPS Investor Should Watch in Q3 Earnings

Nasdaq · Oct 21

UPS to Report Q3 Earnings: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?

Zacks · Oct 21

Amazon to Hire More Than 300,000 U.S. Workers for Holiday Season

The Wall Street Journal · Oct 20

Key stats

52-week range$81.55 – $115.87

Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line

Leans expensive

Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).

▼DCF (base case)below the price by 47%

•Piotroski F-score5/9

•Net debt / EBITDA2.1x

Discounted cash flow

Bear

$23

-76%

growth -9% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%

Base

$52

-47%

growth -4% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%

Bull

$90

-8%

growth -1% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal

Not enough data to run a reverse DCF.

Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly

Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Industrials

P/E (trailing)

sector median 26.4×

–

Forward P/E

sector median 17.1×

–

EV / EBITDA

sector median 14.8×

–

Price / sales

sector median 2.1×

–

Price / book

sector median 3.5×

–

FCF yield

sector median 4.5%

–

Quality & financial health

Gross margin

–

Operating margin

7.3%

FCF margin

6.1%

Net margin

5.1%

Return on equity

30.3%

Return on invested capital

14.5%

Net debt / EBITDA

2.1×

Current ratio

1.2×

Interest cover

6.0×

Cash conversion (OCF/NI)

1.9×

Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years

✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✗ Long-term debt / assets fell✓ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

No analyst targets available.

Annual history

FY	Revenue	Net income	Free cash flow
2025	$88.7B	$5.6B	$4.8B
2024	$91.1B	$5.8B	$6.2B
2023	$91.0B	$6.7B	$5.1B
2022	$100.3B	$11.5B	$9.3B
2021	$97.3B	$12.9B	$10.8B
2020	$84.6B	$1.3B	$5.0B

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR -4.0%.

Earnings

Next report: –

No EPS history available.

Stats refreshed – ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

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Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026

UPS