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USFD

US Foods Holding Corp.
$102.15
-0.83% Oct 21 close
Consumer StaplesS&P 400 Compare
-8%+5%+19%+32%+45%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
USFDSPY
1W
+3.8%
1M
+8.4%
3M
+6.3%
6M
+10.7%
YTD
+35.6%
1Y
+33.9%

Live chart

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What they do

US Foods Holding Corp. markets, sells, and distributes fresh, frozen, and dry food and non-food products to foodservice customers in the United States. The company also provides MOXe, an all-in-one foodservice business application. Its customers include independently owned single and multi-unit restaurants, regional concepts, national restaurant chains, hospitals, nursing homes, hotels and motels.

Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
81st percentile in sector
A-
12-1 return: +27.0%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
55th percentile in sector
C+
Revenue growth (YoY): +4.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
30th percentile in sector
D+
Forward E/P: 5.4% · EBITDA/EV: 6.5%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
42nd percentile in sector
C
Profit margin: +1.8% · Return on equity: +16.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
3 Profitable Stocks We Keep Off Our Radar
StockStory · 20h ago
US Foods (USFD) Stock Could Be 19% Undervalued On Record Margin News
Simply Wall St. · Oct 20
Tesla staffs up Nevada Semi plant as fleet orders stack up
FreightWaves · Oct 16
What Could T-Mobile Stock Be Worth In Three Years?
Trefis · Oct 16
Morgan Stanley Adjusts US Foods Price Target to $111 From $107, Maintains Equal Weight Rating
MT Newswires · Oct 15

Key stats

Market value$22.1B
P/E (last 12 months)31.4
P/E (next 12 months, estimated)18.4
52-week range$69.88 – $111.42
Revenue growth (latest quarter vs a year ago)+4.5%
Dividend yieldNo dividend
Analyst consensusBuy (15)
Average analyst price target$116.27 (+14%)
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Leans expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -2 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 18%
▼Forward P/E vs sector18.4x vs median 14.5x
▲Piotroski F-score8/9
▲Altman Z4.8 (safe)
▲Net debt / EBITDA0.0x
•Analyst target+14% (15 analysts)

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$52
-49%
growth -0% · disc. 9.5% · term. 2.0%
Base
$84
-18%
growth 5% · disc. 8.5% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$131
+28%
growth 8% · disc. 7.5% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 7% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+7%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+24%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+34%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+5%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+11%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 0.9B, 8.5% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-27). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.86 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Consumer Staples

P/E (trailing)
sector median 23.5× · 66th pct
31.4×
pricier
Forward P/E
sector median 14.5× · 69th pct
18.4×
pricier
EV / EBITDA
sector median 11.9× · 56th pct
12.8×
pricier
Price / sales
sector median 1.1× · 24th pct
0.6×
cheaper
Price / book
sector median 3.1× · 67th pct
5.2×
pricier
FCF yield
sector median 6.5% · 30th pct
4.3%
pricier

Forward EPS $5.55 vs trailing $3.25 (+71% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
17.6%
Operating margin
3.1%
FCF margin
2.4%
Net margin
1.8%
Return on equity
17.0%
Return on invested capital
22.1%
Net debt / EBITDA
0.0×
Current ratio
1.1×
Interest cover
4.1×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.9×
Piotroski F-score 8/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✓ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✓ Gross margin improved✓ Asset turnover improved

Altman Z-score 4.8 (safe zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.

Analysts

Mean target
$116
+14%
Analysts
15
Buy
Range
$65–$130
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$39.4B$676.0M$959.0M
2024$37.9B$494.0M$833.0M
2023$35.6B$506.0M$831.0M
2022$34.1B$265.0M$500.0M
2022$29.5B$164.0M$145.0M
2021$22.9B$-226.0M$224.0M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +5.0%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-11-05 · before open · EPS est 1.25
24-1125-0225-0525-0825-1126-0226-0526-080.001.44
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-08-061.361.44+5.7%
2026-05-070.810.78-3.6%
2026-02-121.011.04+3.4%
2025-11-061.031.07+3.7%
2025-08-071.131.19+5.0%
2025-05-080.690.68-2.0%
2025-02-130.800.84+4.4%
2024-11-070.830.85+3.0%

Quarterly revenue

QuarterRevenueYoY
2026-06-30$10.5B+4.5%
2026-03-31$9.6B–
2025-12-31$9.8B–
2025-09-30$10.2B–
2025-06-30$10.1B–
Analyst actions
Morgan Stanley
2026-10-15 · main
Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
PT $111
JP Morgan
2026-09-29 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $98
Piper Sandler
2026-08-12 · main
Neutral → Neutral
PT $108
UBS
2026-08-07 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $127
Citigroup
2026-08-07 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $124
Guggenheim
2026-08-07 · main
Buy → Buy
PT $120
Insider trades
Taylor Randy J
See Remarks · 2026-08-13
Sell
$573.7K
Taylor Randy J
See Remarks · 2026-08-13
Sell
$710.0K
Hancock William Spencer
See Remarks · 2026-08-07
Sell
$2.4M
None
None · None
Sell
–

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 17:57:49 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR and the House Clerk.

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026