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XPO

XPO, Inc.
$188.46
+0.92% Oct 21 close
IndustrialsS&P 400 CompareTechnicals
-8%+12%+32%+51%+71%Oct 2025Oct 2026Apr 2026
XPOSPY
1W
+1.8%
1M
+8.1%
3M
-11.8%
6M
-14.8%
YTD
+38.7%
1Y
+38.6%

Live chart

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What they do

XPO, Inc. provides freight transportation services in the United States, North America, France, the United Kingdom, and rest of Europe. The company operates in two segments, North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and European Transportation. The North American LTL segment provides shippers with geographic density and day-definite domestic and cross-border services to the U.S., Mexico, Canada, and the Caribbean.

Industrials · Trucking

For information only · Important disclosures

Grades vs sector

Momentum
67th percentile in sector
B
12-1 return: +22.3%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth
65th percentile in sector
B
Revenue growth (YoY): +13.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value
21st percentile in sector
D
Forward E/P: 3.5% · EBITDA/EV: 5.4%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability
48th percentile in sector
C+
Profit margin: +4.7% · Return on equity: +21.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Revisions
Not enough data yet
–
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.

Our models

Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.

Quality Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Top 15
Outside this model's universe or screens
Momentum Blend
Not in the current book
New Highs Growth
Outside this model's universe or screens
Coteau Long Book
Not in the current book

News

More news
No recent headlines.

Key stats

52-week range$123.66 – $228.37
Valuation and fundamentals

Valuation & fundamentals

Bottom line
Looks expensive
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score -3 (DCF counts double).
▼DCF (base case)below the price by 94%
▼Piotroski F-score3/9
•Net debt / EBITDA2.2x

Discounted cash flow

Bear
$-2
-101%
growth -3% · disc. 10.2% · term. 2.0%
Base
$11
-94%
growth 2% · disc. 9.2% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$28
-85%
growth 5% · disc. 8.2% · term. 3.0%

A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.

Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
Not enough data to run a reverse DCF.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–

Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 1.00 (n/a) × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.

Multiples vs Industrials

P/E (trailing)
sector median 26.4×
–
Forward P/E
sector median 17.1×
–
EV / EBITDA
sector median 14.8×
–
Price / sales
sector median 2.1×
–
Price / book
sector median 3.5×
–
FCF yield
sector median 4.5%
–

Backlog (remaining performance obligations)

RPO
$151.0M
as of 2022-09-30
vs a year ago
+12%
YoY
× TTM revenue
0.02×
coverage
20-12
21-03
21-06
21-09
21-12
22-03
22-06
22-09

Contracted revenue not yet recognized, from SEC filings (XBRL tag RevenueRemainingPerformanceObligation).

Quality & financial health

Gross margin
1.4%
Operating margin
8.8%
FCF margin
3.3%
Net margin
4.7%
Return on equity
20.6%
Return on invested capital
11.6%
Net debt / EBITDA
2.2×
Current ratio
1.0×
Interest cover
3.6×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
1.9×
Piotroski F-score 3/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✗ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✗ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved

Analysts

No analyst targets available.

Annual history

FYRevenueNet incomeFree cash flow
2025$8.2B$316.0M–
2024$8.1B$387.0M–
2023$7.7B$189.0M–
2022$7.7B$666.0M–
2021$7.2B$336.0M$387.0M
2020$6.2B$110.0M$139.0M

From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +1.9%.

Earnings

Next report: 2026-10-29 · before open · EPS est 1.57
24-1025-0225-0425-0725-1026-0226-0426-070.001.70
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
ReportEPS estActualSurprise
2026-07-301.471.70+15.5%
2026-04-300.881.01+14.4%
2026-02-050.760.88+15.3%
2025-10-301.011.07+5.6%
2025-07-310.991.05+6.2%
2025-04-300.650.73+12.1%
2025-02-060.630.89+41.6%
2024-10-300.901.02+13.3%
Insider trades
Wismans Kyle
Chief Financial Officer · 2026-10-01
Sell
$131.6K
Bates David J.
Chief Operating Officer · 2026-10-01
Sell
$128.5K
Bates David J.
Chief Operating Officer · 2026-10-01
Sell
$160.8K
Bates David J.
Chief Operating Officer · 2026-10-01
Sell
$53.0K
Bates David J.
Chief Operating Officer · 2026-10-01
Sell
$123.0K
Wismans Kyle
Chief Financial Officer · 2026-09-14
Sell
$133.9K
Bates David J.
Chief Operating Officer · 2026-09-14
Sell
$93.0K
Bates David J.
Chief Operating Officer · 2026-09-14
Sell
$269.5K
Bates David J.
Chief Operating Officer · 2026-09-14
Sell
$71.2K
Bates David J.
Chief Operating Officer · 2026-09-14
Sell
$35.5K
Brown Christopher Michael
Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-08-11
Sell
$507.5K
Brown Christopher Michael
Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-08-11
Sell
$249.8K

Stats refreshed 2026-10-21 18:00:52 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now

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coteau

Independent research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026