YUM
Yum! Brands, Inc.
$151.60
+1.18% 2026-10-20
Consumer DiscretionaryS&P 500
YUMSPY
1W
+3.1%
1M
+9.9%
3M
+3.5%
6M
-4.5%
YTD
+1.7%
1Y
+4.3%
Live chart
Loading live chart…
Grades vs sector
Momentum55th pct in sectorC+
Momentum
55th pct in sector
12-1 return: +0.6%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Growth84th pct in sectorA-
Growth
84th pct in sector
Revenue growth (YoY): +12.2%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Value18th pct in sectorD
Value
18th pct in sector
Forward E/P: 4.6% · EBITDA/EV: 5.7%
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Profitability96th pct in sectorA+
Profitability
96th pct in sector
Profit margin: +25.4% · Return on equity: –
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
Percentile within its GICS sector across the S&P 1500.
RevisionsNot enough data yet–
Revisions
Not enough data yet
EPS estimate change, 30 days (current FY): –
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
30-day change in analysts' current-year EPS estimate; graded across covered stocks.
Our models
Not held by any of our 5 live models right now.
Quality Growth
not ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Momentum Top 15rank 314 of 499 · 12-1 momentum % 2.3
Momentum Blendnot in the current book
New Highs Growthnot ranked (outside this model's universe or screens)
Conviction 20not in the current book
News
More newsWhat Are Chipotle Investors Betting On?
Trefis · 10h ago
Is The Market Underpricing McDonald's Stock?
Trefis · 13h ago
KFC predicts a ‘Kentucky fried comeback’ as it swaps Pepsi for Coca-Cola for the first time in 40 years
Moneywise · 14h ago
MCD vs YUM: McDonald’s leads on value and income, Yum Brands on growth
Investing.com · 15h ago
KFC plans a massive soda change last seen 40 years ago
TheStreet · Oct 19
Key stats
Market cap$41.4B
P/E (trailing)19.1
P/E (forward)22.2
52-week range134.26 – 170.14
Revenue growth (YoY, latest qtr)+12.2%
Dividend yield2.00%
Analyst consensusBuy (22)
Mean price target$171.06 (+13%)
Valuation and fundamentals
Valuation & fundamentals
Bottom line
Leans undervalued
Model read-out from the numbers below, not advice. Score +1 (DCF counts double).
▲DCF (base case)above the price by 20%
▼Forward P/E vs sector22.2x vs median 13.4x
•Piotroski F-score5/9
•Altman Z2.3 (grey)
•Net debt / EBITDA2.4x
•Analyst target+13% (22 analysts)
Discounted cash flow
Bear
$93
-39%
growth 4% · disc. 8.0% · term. 2.0%
Base
$182
+20%
growth 9% · disc. 7.0% · term. 2.5%
Bull
$344
+127%
growth 12% · disc. 6.0% · term. 3.0%
A DCF starts from trailing free cash flow, so it can overstate value if the last 12 months were unusually strong (or weak). Use the bear case or edit the starting cash flow if so.
Reverse DCFfor context, not a signal
A normal DCF guesses future cash flows and works out a price. A reverse DCF runs it backwards: it starts from today's price and asks how fast free cash flow would have to grow to justify it. It tells you what the market is assuming, not whether the stock is cheap or expensive, and it is not a buy or sell signal. Glossary
Today's price assumes free cash flow grows about 5% a year for 10 years.
Implied
+5%/yr
FCF, last 3 yrs
+13%/yr
FCF, last 5 yrs
+7%/yr
Revenue, last 3 yrs
+6%/yr
Revenue, last 5 yrs
+8%/yr
Same inputs as the DCF above: trailing free cash flow 1.7B, 7.0% discount rate, 2.5% growth after year 10, net debt and today's share count. Actual growth rates are compound annual rates from SEC annual filings through FY2025; "n/a" means too little history or a negative starting year.
Edit assumptions · recalculates instantly
Your value per share–
Free cash flow = operating cash flow − capital spending, trailing 12 months (TTM to 2026-06-30). Growth default: average of 3-year revenue CAGR and latest revenue growth, capped at 30%. Years 6–10 fade linearly to terminal growth. Discount rate = 4.25% risk-free assumption + beta 0.55 × 5% equity premium, kept within 7–13%. Bear: lower growth, +1 pt discount, 2% terminal. Bull: higher growth, −1 pt, 3%.
Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary
P/E (trailing)
pricier
sector median 17.7× · 56th pct
19.1×pricier
Forward P/E
pricier
sector median 13.4× · 84th pct
22.2×pricier
EV / EBITDA
pricier
sector median 11.3× · 79th pct
16.5×pricier
Price / sales
pricier
sector median 1.2× · 93rd pct
4.7×pricier
Price / book
sector median 2.8×
–FCF yield
pricier
sector median 6.6% · 32nd pct
4.1%pricier
Forward EPS $6.84 vs trailing $7.94 (-14% expected growth). Forward P/E uses analysts' next-12-month estimate.
Quality & financial health
Gross margin
68.1%
Operating margin
31.0%
FCF margin
19.3%
Net margin
25.4%
Return on equity
–
Return on invested capital
4914.5%
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4×
Current ratio
0.6×
Interest cover
5.0×
Cash conversion (OCF/NI)
0.9×
Piotroski F-score 5/9 · last two fiscal years
✓ Positive net income✓ Positive operating cash flow✗ Return on assets improved✓ Cash flow above net income✓ Long-term debt / assets fell✗ Current ratio improved✓ No share dilution✗ Gross margin improved✗ Asset turnover improved
Altman Z-score 2.3 (grey zone; above 3.0 = safe, below 1.8 = distress). Not meaningful for banks and insurers.
Analysts
Mean target
$171
+13%
Analysts
22
Buy
Range
$147–$200
low – high
● price · ◆ mean target
Annual history
| FY | Revenue | Net income | Free cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $8.2B | $1.6B | $1.6B |
| 2024 | $7.5B | $1.5B | $1.4B |
| 2023 | $7.1B | $1.6B | $1.3B |
| 2022 | $6.8B | $1.3B | $1.1B |
| 2021 | $6.6B | $1.6B | $1.5B |
| 2020 | $5.7B | $904.0M | $1.1B |
From the company's 10-K filings via SEC XBRL. 3-year revenue CAGR +6.3%.
Earnings
Next report: 2026-11-03 · before open · EPS est 1.46
EstimateActual (beat)Actual (miss)
| Report | EPS est | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | 1.56 | 1.62 | +3.7% |
| 2026-04-29 | 1.39 | 1.50 | +8.0% |
| 2026-02-04 | 1.76 | 1.73 | -1.5% |
| 2025-11-04 | 1.48 | 1.58 | +6.7% |
| 2025-08-05 | 1.46 | 1.44 | -1.3% |
| 2025-04-30 | 1.28 | 1.30 | +1.5% |
| 2025-02-06 | 1.60 | 1.61 | +0.9% |
| 2024-11-05 | 1.41 | 1.37 | -2.8% |
Quarterly revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | $2.2B | +12.3% |
| 2026-03-31 | $2.1B | – |
| 2025-12-31 | $2.5B | – |
| 2025-09-30 | $2.0B | – |
| 2025-06-30 | $1.9B | – |
Analyst actions
TD Cowen
PT $177
2026-10-07 · main
Buy → BuyPT $177
Guggenheim
PT $155
2026-10-06 · main
Buy → BuyPT $155
JP Morgan
PT $150
2026-09-29 · main
Overweight → OverweightPT $150
Argus Research
2026-09-24 · down
Buy → HoldBaird
PT $165
2026-09-16 · main
Outperform → OutperformPT $165
Seaport Global
PT $162
2026-09-16 · init
→ BuyPT $162
Recent dividends
2026-09-09: $0.750 · 2026-05-27: $0.750 · 2026-02-20: $0.750 · 2025-12-02: $0.710 · 2025-09-02: $0.710 · 2025-05-27: $0.710 · 2025-02-21: $0.710 · 2024-12-02: $0.670
Insider trades
Turner Christopher Lee
$39.9K
Director, Chief Executive Officer · 2026-10-07
SELL$39.9K
Mezvinsky Scott
$33.0K
KFC Division CEO · 2026-10-01
SELL$33.0K
Mezvinsky Scott
$41.2K
KFC Division CEO · 2026-09-01
SELL$41.2K
Turner Christopher Lee
$40.1K
Director, Chief Executive Officer · 2026-09-01
SELL$40.1K
Skeans Tracy L
$552.1K
COO and CPO · 2026-08-24
SELL$552.1K
Russell David Eric
$1.2M
Sr. Vice President, Controller · 2026-08-03
SELL$1.2M
Mezvinsky Scott
$41.0K
KFC Division CEO · 2026-08-03
SELL$41.0K
Turner Christopher Lee
$40.0K
Director, Chief Executive Officer · 2026-08-03
SELL$40.0K
None
–
None · None
SELL–
None
–
None · None
SELL–
Stats refreshed 2026-10-20 18:02:42 ET from Yahoo Finance (yfinance). "–" means the data isn't available. Refresh now
coteau
Coteau Systematic Strategies publishes stock research and model portfolios. It doesn't manage money or give investment advice. Results are hypothetical unless marked Live. Data: Yahoo Finance (delayed) and SEC EDGAR.