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Scorecard

Every call graded in public, losers included.

1 day
1/1
hit · avg +0.1%
1 week
–
1 pending
1 month
–
1 pending
Deal spread10/20 13:31 ET
1 day+0.1%SPY +0.3%
1 weekPending
1 monthPending
GTCR-led group incl. Elliott offer $7.75

Hypothetical results from logged calls. · Important disclosures Call-log entries are published after the close of the next trading day, never while they could be acted on in the same session. The author may hold positions in securities discussed here.

How this works

What's logged. Entries from the author's call log (shown after the close of the next trading day), every catalyst alert (deal spreads, sale reports, new 13D stakes, gappers, unusual volume) and each model's frozen picks. Each gets a timestamp and the price at that moment. Nothing is removed afterwards.

Grading. 1 day, 1 week and 1 month mean 1, 5 and 21 completed trading sessions after the call, using the closing price. "Pending" means not enough sessions have passed yet. SPY is measured from its last close before the call.

What counts as a hit. Up-calls and alerts: the stock rose. Gap-downs and "avoid" calls: it fell. Model holdings: they beat SPY. Results are graded from the price at the call, not from the entry trigger; the reference-level chips show whether those levels traded.

Prices: Yahoo Finance daily bars (delayed). 523 calls logged so far, last graded 10/22 19:50 ET.

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Independent research · Not investment advice · Hypothetical unless marked Live · Data: Yahoo Finance (15-min delayed), SEC EDGAR, House Clerk · Important disclosures · Contact desk@coteau.app

Beta 0.9 · Oct 21, 2026